maligned Posted September 29, 2011 Share Posted September 29, 2011 Ok, here's a quick way to estimate what your team's Genius POTENTIAL Rating will be for the upcoming season: 1. Count how many definite returning starters you have. 2. Subtract 6. 3. Multiply by 2.5 4. Add this to your POTENTIAL Rating from last season (or subtract if negative). Example: Your POTENTIAL last year was 60. You have 10 returning starters. Subtract 6 from 10 to give you 4. Multiply by 2.5 to get 10. Add 10 to your POTENTIAL from last year to get a predicted 2011-12 POTENTIAL of 70. So, what's your predicted rating? Here are last year's ratings for reference: http://www.indianamat.com/genius-ratings-potential-overall/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
melco Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 Fort Wayne Snider 64.26 Only losing one starter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wrestler60160 Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 Moved us to top 50..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caleb Spires Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 Jimtown has 79.57. Lost 4 varsity starters and one of our varsity guys from last year isn't wrestling this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach Seltzer Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 Elkhart Memorial 81.73.. Returning 12/14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach Hartman Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 South Bend Clay 83.97.... 10/14 starters returning. How is strength of schedule figured out... ours seems weak and we wrestle Penn, Mishawaka, Merriville, Yorktown, Munster, Lake Central, Riley, Prarie Heights and many other quality teams. I would just think that our conference schedule makes our schedule hard enough. 2 Years ago we beat 5 teams that won their Sectional and 2 teams that were in the team state finals including the runner-up... we finished 3rd in our sectional- 3rd in our conference. Just wondering. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Smooth34 Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 Jimtown has 79.57. Lost 4 varsity starters and one of our varsity guys from last year isn't wrestling this year. Who? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Caleb Spires Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 Who? Our seniors were Matt Hill, Collin Crume, Eric Forrest, and Zach Myers, and our 103 from last year isn't doing it this year. But we have a MUCH better freshman that will be taking his spot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KarlHungus Posted September 30, 2011 Share Posted September 30, 2011 Our seniors were Matt Hill, Collin Crume, Eric Forrest, and Zach Myers, and our 103 from last year isn't doing it this year. But we have a MUCH better freshman that will be taking his spot. damn...thought the other crume was going to opt out.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maligned Posted September 30, 2011 Author Share Posted September 30, 2011 South Bend Clay 83.97.... 10/14 starters returning. How is strength of schedule figured out... ours seems weak and we wrestle Penn, Mishawaka, Merriville, Yorktown, Munster, Lake Central, Riley, Prarie Heights and many other quality teams. I would just think that our conference schedule makes our schedule hard enough. 2 Years ago we beat 5 teams that won their Sectional and 2 teams that were in the team state finals including the runner-up... we finished 3rd in our sectional- 3rd in our conference. Just wondering. You faced a large number of good teams--but not nearly the same "density" of good teams as many schools. In other words, you faced lots of bad teams too. Your SOS reflects the composite strength of all the teams you faced. So a "normal" team from your schedule would have had about a 34 rating. Quite low compared to many other teams. Also, remember that tournament results against each particular team are only weighted half as much as dual meets. So just because you saw some teams in a big individual tournament doesn't mean their weight shows up on your SOS as significantly. Finally, what really killed you guys in particular is the fact that your scheduling weak spots were very weak. Wrestling schools rated 200 or below a few times will hammer your strength of schedule number. Some of the top schedules didn't see more than 2 or 3 schools ranked 150 or worse through the whole season. You faced these rating levels: 211 213 226 258 189 222 153 214 223 289 (twice) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M109R Posted October 1, 2011 Share Posted October 1, 2011 Penn returns 8 for a 95.06 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Coach Hartman Posted October 1, 2011 Share Posted October 1, 2011 Maligned, thanks for the response- that is what I wanted to know. By the way the teams I listed were duals not individual tournaments, I would definitely see your point of not counting individual tournaments. Thanks again and keep up the good work! Its just fun being able to talk wrestling right now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maligned Posted October 1, 2011 Author Share Posted October 1, 2011 By the way the teams I listed were duals not individual tournaments, I would definitely see your point of not counting individual tournaments. Yeah, sorry, I just looked at your blowouts quick and copied and pasted their ratings. I didn't check which opponents were duals or tournaments. And also, I wrote the wrong thing on a previous post--individual tourneys are weighted like half a dual meet against each team, not one fifth (except for 32-team events, which are weighted even less). Don't know what I was thinking. Looks like you guys will have a very strong team this year. Good luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zachpierson Posted October 1, 2011 Share Posted October 1, 2011 Pm is 114.16 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wrestler60160 Posted October 1, 2011 Share Posted October 1, 2011 PM is at 114.16........( me saying it in a sarcastic voice ).... ;D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maligned Posted October 1, 2011 Author Share Posted October 1, 2011 Pm is 114.16 Yeah, for the Top 20 teams or so, this projection number inflates your rating a little too much. It's an "average" that's supposed to work reasonably well for all levels of teams. Returning 10 starters for a top team like yours would, in most cases, yield pretty similar strength to the previous year; whereas I estimate returning only 6 starters would yield about the same level as the previous season for average teams. I'm going to release a Genius projected Top 20 later on that will use more detailed calculations for top teams based on talent lost and gained. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zachpierson Posted October 1, 2011 Share Posted October 1, 2011 PM is at 114.16........( me saying it in a sarcastic voice ).... ;D Haha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wrestler60160 Posted October 1, 2011 Share Posted October 1, 2011 Haha ;D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jpt189 Posted October 3, 2011 Share Posted October 3, 2011 Washington 53.54 (returning 12 starters) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hatchet dad Posted October 7, 2011 Share Posted October 7, 2011 Looking for Washington Wrestling to have a Great Season!..................GO HATCHETS!!!!!!!!!!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HighC Posted October 9, 2011 Share Posted October 9, 2011 Ben Davis 79.99...returning 12 starters but it's tough when some of those starters may not crack the line up (stinking weight class changes). Could be a good thing for us though, some of these kids need to get bigger for us. And we had a transfer that started for LC last year that I am not counting...that puts us at 81.24. It also doesn't change the fact that Perry is in our Sectionals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts