maligned Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Here are the probabilities for each team to advance to the semis, advance to the finals, and win the championship this weekend. Finally, the probability for winning the championship is converted into a typical odds listing. This is based on bracket placement and potential match-ups when all possibilities of winners and losers are carried out. TEAM Rating Semis Finals Champ Odds Perry Meridian 106.66 82.2% 68.1% 37.8% 1.6:1 Roncalli 88.69 17.8% 9.1% 2.1% 46:1 Penn 90.06 60.4% 15.4% 3.9% 25:1 Bellmont 85.02 39.6% 7.4% 1.4% 72:1 Evansville Mater Dei 105.89 50.0% 44.7% 26.4% 2.8:1 Crown Point 105.87 50.0% 44.7% 26.3% 2.8:1 Lawrence North 83.08 84.4% 10.3% 2.1% 47:1 Delphi 63.37 15.6% 0.3% 0.0% 8,900:1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntegratedCarp Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Wahoo for you. That must have taken alot of work. Pretty neat stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maligned Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 Wahoo for you. That must have taken alot of work. Pretty neat stuff. Thank you. Honestly, with all the data that's been compiled for the Genius Ratings, spitting out this data wasn't too bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
polytropos Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Maligned-- This actually pertains to another thread, but as I know you will read this I will ask you here. I saw a post of yours once (a long while a go) that required you to calculate all of the historical scores from the individual state tournament, so I am guessing you might know who has won the coaches trophy every year since Team State began. Would you mind to post that if you do know? For some reason historical information on that seems to be harder to find than the presidential nuclear launch codes (not that I found those either, but man if I did...) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maligned Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 Maligned-- This actually pertains to another thread, but as I know you will read this I will ask you here. I saw a post of yours once (a long while a go) that required you to calculate all of the historical scores from the individual state tournament, so I am guessing you might know who has won the coaches trophy every year since Team State began. Would you mind to post that if you do know? For some reason historical information on that seems to be harder to find than the presidential nuclear launch codes (not that I found those either, but man if I did...) I don't have a straight out list, but I'll see what I can find. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gogoplata89 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 Delphi 63.37 15.6% 0.3% 0.0% 8,900:1 jeeze Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maligned Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 Maligned-- This actually pertains to another thread, but as I know you will read this I will ask you here. I saw a post of yours once (a long while a go) that required you to calculate all of the historical scores from the individual state tournament, so I am guessing you might know who has won the coaches trophy every year since Team State began. Would you mind to post that if you do know? For some reason historical information on that seems to be harder to find than the presidential nuclear launch codes (not that I found those either, but man if I did...) Yeah, I can't find a list that I've kept anywhere. You could try emailing or messaging JD Minch or Rex Peckingpaugh because of their connections to the coaches' association. I know the last 4 years go like this: 2011-CP, 2010-Mishawaka, 2009-CP, 2008-Mishawaka. There were a lot of years during MD's run that they won both titles, so it's more often than not been the same champion. I could look back through the results and find the winners, but I won't have time until maybe tomorrow afternoon. Sorry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gstemv81 Posted February 24, 2011 Share Posted February 24, 2011 See "Team State vs Coaches Trophy" thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fire77 Posted February 26, 2011 Share Posted February 26, 2011 this is why they wrestle. Congrats to all, espically LN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrimetimesWidow Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 Here are the probabilities for each team to advance to the semis, advance to the finals, and win the championship this weekend. Finally, the probability for winning the championship is converted into a typical odds listing. This is based on bracket placement and potential match-ups when all possibilities of winners and losers are carried out. TEAM Rating Semis Finals Champ Odds Perry Meridian 106.66 82.2% 68.1% 37.8% 1.6:1 Roncalli 88.69 17.8% 9.1% 2.1% 46:1 Penn 90.06 60.4% 15.4% 3.9% 25:1 Bellmont 85.02 39.6% 7.4% 1.4% 72:1 Evansville Mater Dei 105.89 50.0% 44.7% 26.4% 2.8:1 Crown Point 105.87 50.0% 44.7% 26.3% 2.8:1 Lawrence North 83.08 84.4% 10.3% 2.1% 47:1 Delphi 63.37 15.6% 0.3% 0.0% 8,900:1 Love it when the "little dogs" have to prove something to the "big dogs." Great job in making it to the finals, Wildcats! You guys deserved it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gstemv81 Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 Since when is Lawrence North a "little dog?" They are close to being in the top 5 big schools in the state. LN might have been something of an underdog this year but they are a big threat every year, and have been for more than 20 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJ Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 If I read this right, the math actually picked the winner..... that is very cool... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PrimetimesWidow Posted February 27, 2011 Share Posted February 27, 2011 Since when is Lawrence North a "little dog?" They are close to being in the top 5 big schools in the state. LN might have been something of an underdog this year but they are a big threat every year, and have been for more than 20 years. Do you not see the " "? They were virtually ruled out to make it to the finals - less known the championship match! I am a proud Wildcat Mom of this year's 189 County, Conference, Sectional & Regional Champion and LOOOOOOVE LNHS wrestlers! Trust me -- I know all about them and their accomplishments. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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