maligned

Walker, Critchfield, Erb, and Wagner will wrestle in the blood round tonight, attempting to join Calhoun and Kervin as AAs.

Tragically, Lee gets outscored 18-2 by Austin Gomez after owning a 10-4 lead and ends up teched. This is the 3rd straight Olympic cycle at this weight that we are taking a shocking loss and not qualifying this weight. 
 
Zane Richards moves to tonight's semis against Darian Cruz at 57kg.

Kayla gets it done! She beats the Venezuelan, 3-0, this time. Now she "only" needs to win the Trials and she's into another Olympic Games! 
 
Parrish at 53kg also qualified the weight for us. It's only Amit Elor, possibly the best female wrestler on the planet, needing to qualify 68kg that's left (she's emerged the last 2 seasons as an unbeatable force at 72kg, but cut down for the Olympic year..our other rep didn't qualify 68 at Worlds).

After Day 1:
 
Woenker, Kervin, Critchfield, Calhoun into the quarters. Need to win one of their next two for AA status.
 
Erb, Wagner, Beatty, Rodgers into Consi R3. Need to win next two to podium.
 
Tech in 14th. Marian in 24th.
 
184 Chandler Woenker Campbellsville, 2-0
125 Jeffrey Bailey Cornerstone, 0-2
157 Elijah Chacon Indiana Tech, 0-2
165 Jonathan Kervin Indiana Tech, bye & 1-0 
174 Landon Buchanan Indiana Tech, 0-2
197 Nathan Critchfield Indiana Tech, 2-0
285 Braydon Erb Indiana Tech, 2-1
133 Anthony Hughes Marian, 0-2 
141 Logan Wagner Marian, 1-1
149 Aundre Beatty Marian, 2-1
149 Seth Johnson Marian, 0-2
165 Elliott Rodgers Marian, 2-1
174 Noah Hollendonner Marian, 0-2
285 Excell Brooks Marian, 0-2
174 Graham Calhoun Southeastern, 2-0
125 Adonis Boyd Cumberlands, 0-2

I'm taking my first stab at doing any kind of individual rankings. These rankings are Indiana guys wrestling in college at all divisions. I've ranked each weight class. I haven't scoured the internet or wrestler profiles for head to heads. Occasionally I found one. Discuss...
 
125 Division Ranking First Name Last Name College   D1 1 Jacob Moran Indiana   D1 2 Ashton Jackson Purdue   D2 3 Christian Mejia McKendree   D1 4 Toby Billerman Southern Illinois Edwardsville   D2 5 Nathan Smith Indianapolis   NAIA 6 Adonis Boyd Cumberlands(KY)   NAIA 7 Jeffrey Bailey Cornerstone   D2 8 Jackson Heaston Upper Iowa   D2 9 Bryson Rowley Kentucky Wesleyan   NAIA 10 Jacob Simone Marian  
133 D1 1 Blake Boarman Tennessee Chattanooga   D1 2 Cayden Rooks Indiana   D1 3 Logan Frazier Virginia Tech   D1 4 Cheaney Schoeff Indiana   D2 5 Aidan Sprague Indianapolis   NAIA 6 Elijah Anthony Indiana Tech   NAIA 7 Anthony Hughes Marian   NAIA 8 Matteo Vargo Cumberlands(KY)   D1 9 Giovanni Diaz Franklin & Marshall   D1 10 Hayden Brady Northern Colorado  
141 D1 1 Jesse Mendez Ohio State   D1 2 Zeke Seltzer Missouri   D1 3 Christian White Purdue   NAIA 4 Logan Wagner Marian   D2 5 Blake Mulkey Indianapolis   D1 6 Cole Solomey Purdue   D2 7 Raymond Rioux Indianapolis   D1 8 Joey Buttler Indiana   D2 9 Brayden Lowery Indianapolis   JC 10 Ashton Hayhurst Triton  
149 D1 1 Graham Rooks Indiana   D1 2 Anthony Bahl Indiana   D1 3 Jaden Reynolds Purdue   D1 4 Alec Viduya Air Force   D1 5 Aidan Torres Indiana   D2 6 Hunter Cottingham Indianapolis   NAIA 7 Aundre Beatty Marian   D2 8 Chris Wilkerson Indianapolis   NAIA 9 David Pierson St. Thomas   D3 10 Dominic Litchfield Wabash  
157 D1 1 Brayton Lee Indiana   D1 2 J Conway Missouri   D1 3 Isaac Ruble Purdue   D2 4 Nathan Conley Indianapolis   D1 5 Hayden Watson The Citadel   D1 6 Nick Cicciarelli West Virginia   D1 7 Bryce Lowery Indiana   NAIA 8 Elijah Chacon Indiana Tech   D3 9 Tyson Nisley Wabash   D1 10 Jeb Prechtel Bellarmine  
165 D1 1 Matt Lee Penn State   D2 2 Dawson Combest Indianapolis   D1 3 Robert Major Indiana   D1 4 Nick South Indiana   NAIA 5 Jonathan Kervin Indiana Tech   D1 6 Cooper Noehre Purdue   D1 7 Sam Goin Indiana   D2 8 Logan Farnell Indianapolis   D2 9 Shane Bates Indianapolis   NAIA 10 Elliott Rodgers Marian  
174 D1 1 Joseph Walker Michigan   D1 2 Brody Baumann Purdue   D1 3 Donnell Washington Indiana   D1 4 Joe Lee Penn State   D1 5 Orlando Cruz Purdue   D1 6 Clayton Fielden Indiana   D1 7 Codei Khawaja Michigan   NAIA 8 Graham Calhoun Southeastern   D2 9 Christian Chavez West Liberty   NAIA 10 Landon Buchanan Indiana Tech  
184 D1 1 Hayden Filipovich Purdue   D1 2 Macartney Parkinson Purdue   D2 3 Porter Keevers Indianapolis   D3 4 Gavin Layman Ohio Northern   D1 5 Sam Schroeder Bellarmine   D2 6 Van Skinner Indianapolis   D3 7 Cole Cervantes North Central   NAIA 8 Chandler Woenker Campbellsvillle   D3 9 Sammy Saunders Wabash   NAIA 10 Mike Durham Indiana Tech  
197 D1 1 Silas Allred Nebraska   D1 2 Gabe Sollars Indiana   D1 3 Evan Bates Northwestern   D2 4 Derek Blubaugh Indianapolis   NAIA 5 Nathan Critchfield Indiana Tech   D1 6 Eli Pack Army West Point   D2 7 Phoenix Rodgers Indianapolis   D2 8 Jake Lone Indianapolis   D3 9 Caden Friedt Wabash   NAIA 10 Justice Cash Marian  
285 D1 1 Lucas Davison Michigan   D2 2 Shawn Streck Central Oklahoma   D1 3 Christian Carroll Oklahoma State   D1 4 Nick Willham Indiana   D1 5 Connor Barket Duke   D1 6 Tristan Ruhlman Purdue   D2 7 Cale Gray Indianapolis   D2 8 Royce Deckard Indianapolis   NAIA 9 Braydon Erb Indiana Tech   D3 10 Titus Waters Wabash  

Yes, their depth of talent is very, very high. They don't have the "per capita" talent that we do. We're more of a "wrestling state" in terms of how many kids we develop relative to our population--but California's population is so gigantic. They produce a LOT of good kids.

Yes, their depth of talent is very, very high. They don't have the "per capita" talent that we do. We're more of a "wrestling state" in terms of how many kids we develop relative to our population--but California's population is so gigantic. They produce a LOT of good kids.

I have it at 2 AAs this year based on current Intermat rankings. Of course, anything they do to improve their seeds over their rankings at their conference tournaments will increase that total.
 
The far right column is the probability of AAing based on fitted results from 2010 - 2023.
 

Yes, their depth of talent is very, very high. They don't have the "per capita" talent that we do. We're more of a "wrestling state" in terms of how many kids we develop relative to our population--but California's population is so gigantic. They produce a LOT of good kids.

Draws are out for the Olympic Games qualifier.
 
To get top 2 to qualify the weight, Kayla Miracle will probably face a tough 20yo Venezuelan who has two age group world medals to her credit. Kayla was losing to her 5-4 before pinning her with 1:30 left in their match last week. 
 
Nick Lee will probably have Austin Gomez, past NCAA AA, wrestling for Mexico in the quarters; and then Canadian NCAA AA for North Carolina, Lachlan McNeil, in the semis. Gomez is very dynamic and did upset Yianni in the college season last year. 
 
Jacob Moran is out and NCAA champ Darian Cruz is in for Puerto Rico at 57kg. For the US at that weight, Zane Richards' biggest test in qualifying the weight should be Cruz in the semis.

Across the last 10 actually wrestled D1 tournaments we've gotten 23 All-Americans.  And we've seen 113 All-Americans from the last 10 actually wrestled D2, D3, NAIA, NJCAA tournaments.
 
That's 2.3 D1 and 11.3 smaller-division All-Americans per year. 
 
Who get these men's spots for us this year? 
 
I follow D1 much more than the others, so it's the one I know. Trying to see things objectively, I think only 2 AAs is the most likely scenario this year.
 
How I'd categorize our Indiana high school grads' AA chances:
 
Likely:
Mendez--He is in an always-deep 141, but he would need to lose a couple of significant upsets not to medal. He's one of 2 (maybe 3) clear gold medal contenders.
Davison--Heavyweight, contrary to high school, tends to be fairly predictable with obvious tiers. Davison seems headed for about a #6 seed, and him winning above his seed or losing below his seed outside of about 3 to 8 is unlikely.
 
Small chance:
Allred--His ranking suggests he's in about the same position he was last year heading into Big 10s, where he emerged not only as an AA threat, but also a dark horse to take the whole thing. However, we haven't seen the same scoring savvy that he showed last year in any of his matches against top competition this year. He's got a great shot to win a couple NCAA matches again, but he'll need to rekindle some things we haven't seen yet this year to make an AA run.
B-Lee--I love how hard this dude has worked to get back and to be ready to bang headed into Big 10s. He's capable of some interesting moments again. Sadly, though, he will need to rediscover one or two more helpings of that past prowess to make a run.
G-Rooks--He's come agonizingly close before, so I wouldn't count him out. Like last year, he needs a workable draw, and he needs to get hot. It's not probable--but not impossible. He's got a really similar mix of results to last year, and he seems headed for a similar seed.
 
Notable others:
DJ Washington--Not sure why he's struggled so much for a sustained period now, but I would have had him in the "small chance" category for sure early this season. He doesn't look like himself at all right now, so it's hard to imagine much post-season impact from him unless he recovers from whatever is ailing him very quickly.
Blake Boarman--Breakout year for Blake. He seems headed for an NCAA bid with a sparkling record of 17-4. But he wrestles a lesser schedule, so it's hard to get a handle on how much he might be able to do against top guys. I'm excited to follow him at SoCon's and beyond.
Gabe Sollars--Super fun pin artist that's had a couple tight ones with AA contenders. He hasn't quite broken through against the upper tier; but if he manages to get into the tournament, he could make some noise.
Brody Baumann--He's another one that needs to sneak into the tournament first, but that shows flashes of creating interesting upsets.
Evan Bates--He's solid. He beats who he should, but loses fairly clearly against the top 30. Getting into the tournament, which he could very likely do, would be a good result for him.
Connor Barket--Big strides forward, but he'll need a special performance at the ACC tournament to get into NCAAs.
Brodie Porter--Same as Barket...big strides, but likely a year or two away from big noise.
Nick Wilham--Admirable job jumping in at 285, but would also need a huge conference tournament.
 

Draws are out for the Olympic Games qualifier.
 
To get top 2 to qualify the weight, Kayla Miracle will probably face a tough 20yo Venezuelan who has two age group world medals to her credit. Kayla was losing to her 5-4 before pinning her with 1:30 left in their match last week. 
 
Nick Lee will probably have Austin Gomez, past NCAA AA, wrestling for Mexico in the quarters; and then Canadian NCAA AA for North Carolina, Lachlan McNeil, in the semis. Gomez is very dynamic and did upset Yianni in the college season last year. 
 
Jacob Moran is out and NCAA champ Darian Cruz is in for Puerto Rico at 57kg. For the US at that weight, Zane Richards' biggest test in qualifying the weight should be Cruz in the semis.

Kayla Miracle also took gold (which matters a lot..explained below). Jacob Moran wrestled for Puerto Rico and lost his only match, 3-1, to the Ecuadorian who took bronze.
 
These Pan Am championships matter for international seeding points, including for the Olympics, so we took them seriously.
 
However, the real event is this weekend--the Pan Am Olympic Qualifier tournament. All 18 Olympic weights will wrestle until there is a Top 2, who will qualify their country for that given weight at the Olympics this summer. Nations who already qualified at a given weight by placing Top 5 at the 2023 Worlds will not have an entry at that weight.
 
Nick Lee will attempt to qualify us for the Olympics at 65kg and Kayla Miracle will attempt to qualify us at 62kg, where neither was successful in placing Top 5 at 2023 Worlds. Jacob Moran will once again compete for Puerto Rico as well. In addition to Lee at freestyle 65 and Kayla at women's 62, the U.S. will also attempt to qualify 57kg in freestyle, all 6 weights of Greco, and 53kg and 68kg in women's.
 
Kayla's gold at the regular Pan Am Championships  was important because she took the head-to-head gold medal match from the Canadian in a nail biter, 6-6. This gives Kayla the #1 seed and puts her opposite both the very tough Canadian and a very tough Brazilian in the Olympic Qualifier event. There is no True 2nd, so it paves the way for a much easier path to winning in the semi-finals and guaranteeing our place at the Olympics.
 
Even if Nick and Kayla qualify the weights for us, they have to come through our Olympic Trials in April like everyone else to be our representatives this summer.
 

The event starts today with Greco, where we haven't qualified any of the 6 weights yet. 
 
To qualify the 6, we're significant favorites in 2 weights, slight favorites in another 2, a coin flip in one, and heavy underdogs to a Cuban in one.
 
We never qualify all the Greco weights for the Olympics, but we should get 3 to 5 today.

Draws are out for the Olympic Games qualifier.
 
To get top 2 to qualify the weight, Kayla Miracle will probably face a tough 20yo Venezuelan who has two age group world medals to her credit. Kayla was losing to her 5-4 before pinning her with 1:30 left in their match last week. 
 
Nick Lee will probably have Austin Gomez, past NCAA AA, wrestling for Mexico in the quarters; and then Canadian NCAA AA for North Carolina, Lachlan McNeil, in the semis. Gomez is very dynamic and did upset Yianni in the college season last year. 
 
Jacob Moran is out and NCAA champ Darian Cruz is in for Puerto Rico at 57kg. For the US at that weight, Zane Richards' biggest test in qualifying the weight should be Cruz in the semis.

Kayla Miracle also took gold (which matters a lot..explained below). Jacob Moran wrestled for Puerto Rico and lost his only match, 3-1, to the Ecuadorian who took bronze.
 
These Pan Am championships matter for international seeding points, including for the Olympics, so we took them seriously.
 
However, the real event is this weekend--the Pan Am Olympic Qualifier tournament. All 18 Olympic weights will wrestle until there is a Top 2, who will qualify their country for that given weight at the Olympics this summer. Nations who already qualified at a given weight by placing Top 5 at the 2023 Worlds will not have an entry at that weight.
 
Nick Lee will attempt to qualify us for the Olympics at 65kg and Kayla Miracle will attempt to qualify us at 62kg, where neither was successful in placing Top 5 at 2023 Worlds. Jacob Moran will once again compete for Puerto Rico as well. In addition to Lee at freestyle 65 and Kayla at women's 62, the U.S. will also attempt to qualify 57kg in freestyle, all 6 weights of Greco, and 53kg and 68kg in women's.
 
Kayla's gold at the regular Pan Am Championships  was important because she took the head-to-head gold medal match from the Canadian in a nail biter, 6-6. This gives Kayla the #1 seed and puts her opposite both the very tough Canadian and a very tough Brazilian in the Olympic Qualifier event. There is no True 2nd, so it paves the way for a much easier path to winning in the semi-finals and guaranteeing our place at the Olympics.
 
Even if Nick and Kayla qualify the weights for us, they have to come through our Olympic Trials in April like everyone else to be our representatives this summer.
 

Kayla Miracle also took gold (which matters a lot..explained below). Jacob Moran wrestled for Puerto Rico and lost his only match, 3-1, to the Ecuadorian who took bronze.
 
These Pan Am championships matter for international seeding points, including for the Olympics, so we took them seriously.
 
However, the real event is this weekend--the Pan Am Olympic Qualifier tournament. All 18 Olympic weights will wrestle until there is a Top 2, who will qualify their country for that given weight at the Olympics this summer. Nations who already qualified at a given weight by placing Top 5 at the 2023 Worlds will not have an entry at that weight.
 
Nick Lee will attempt to qualify us for the Olympics at 65kg and Kayla Miracle will attempt to qualify us at 62kg, where neither was successful in placing Top 5 at 2023 Worlds. Jacob Moran will once again compete for Puerto Rico as well. In addition to Lee at freestyle 65 and Kayla at women's 62, the U.S. will also attempt to qualify 57kg in freestyle, all 6 weights of Greco, and 53kg and 68kg in women's.
 
Kayla's gold at the regular Pan Am Championships  was important because she took the head-to-head gold medal match from the Canadian in a nail biter, 6-6. This gives Kayla the #1 seed and puts her opposite both the very tough Canadian and a very tough Brazilian in the Olympic Qualifier event. There is no True 2nd, so it paves the way for a much easier path to winning in the semi-finals and guaranteeing our place at the Olympics.
 
Even if Nick and Kayla qualify the weights for us, they have to come through our Olympic Trials in April like everyone else to be our representatives this summer.
 

Across the last 10 actually wrestled D1 tournaments we've gotten 23 All-Americans.  And we've seen 113 All-Americans from the last 10 actually wrestled D2, D3, NAIA, NJCAA tournaments.
 
That's 2.3 D1 and 11.3 smaller-division All-Americans per year. 
 
Who get these men's spots for us this year? 
 
I follow D1 much more than the others, so it's the one I know. Trying to see things objectively, I think only 2 AAs is the most likely scenario this year.
 
How I'd categorize our Indiana high school grads' AA chances:
 
Likely:
Mendez--He is in an always-deep 141, but he would need to lose a couple of significant upsets not to medal. He's one of 2 (maybe 3) clear gold medal contenders.
Davison--Heavyweight, contrary to high school, tends to be fairly predictable with obvious tiers. Davison seems headed for about a #6 seed, and him winning above his seed or losing below his seed outside of about 3 to 8 is unlikely.
 
Small chance:
Allred--His ranking suggests he's in about the same position he was last year heading into Big 10s, where he emerged not only as an AA threat, but also a dark horse to take the whole thing. However, we haven't seen the same scoring savvy that he showed last year in any of his matches against top competition this year. He's got a great shot to win a couple NCAA matches again, but he'll need to rekindle some things we haven't seen yet this year to make an AA run.
B-Lee--I love how hard this dude has worked to get back and to be ready to bang headed into Big 10s. He's capable of some interesting moments again. Sadly, though, he will need to rediscover one or two more helpings of that past prowess to make a run.
G-Rooks--He's come agonizingly close before, so I wouldn't count him out. Like last year, he needs a workable draw, and he needs to get hot. It's not probable--but not impossible. He's got a really similar mix of results to last year, and he seems headed for a similar seed.
 
Notable others:
DJ Washington--Not sure why he's struggled so much for a sustained period now, but I would have had him in the "small chance" category for sure early this season. He doesn't look like himself at all right now, so it's hard to imagine much post-season impact from him unless he recovers from whatever is ailing him very quickly.
Blake Boarman--Breakout year for Blake. He seems headed for an NCAA bid with a sparkling record of 17-4. But he wrestles a lesser schedule, so it's hard to get a handle on how much he might be able to do against top guys. I'm excited to follow him at SoCon's and beyond.
Gabe Sollars--Super fun pin artist that's had a couple tight ones with AA contenders. He hasn't quite broken through against the upper tier; but if he manages to get into the tournament, he could make some noise.
Brody Baumann--He's another one that needs to sneak into the tournament first, but that shows flashes of creating interesting upsets.
Evan Bates--He's solid. He beats who he should, but loses fairly clearly against the top 30. Getting into the tournament, which he could very likely do, would be a good result for him.
Connor Barket--Big strides forward, but he'll need a special performance at the ACC tournament to get into NCAAs.
Brodie Porter--Same as Barket...big strides, but likely a year or two away from big noise.
Nick Wilham--Admirable job jumping in at 285, but would also need a huge conference tournament.
 

Across the last 10 actually wrestled D1 tournaments we've gotten 23 All-Americans.  And we've seen 113 All-Americans from the last 10 actually wrestled D2, D3, NAIA, NJCAA tournaments.
 
That's 2.3 D1 and 11.3 smaller-division All-Americans per year. 
 
Who get these men's spots for us this year? 
 
I follow D1 much more than the others, so it's the one I know. Trying to see things objectively, I think only 2 AAs is the most likely scenario this year.
 
How I'd categorize our Indiana high school grads' AA chances:
 
Likely:
Mendez--He is in an always-deep 141, but he would need to lose a couple of significant upsets not to medal. He's one of 2 (maybe 3) clear gold medal contenders.
Davison--Heavyweight, contrary to high school, tends to be fairly predictable with obvious tiers. Davison seems headed for about a #6 seed, and him winning above his seed or losing below his seed outside of about 3 to 8 is unlikely.
 
Small chance:
Allred--His ranking suggests he's in about the same position he was last year heading into Big 10s, where he emerged not only as an AA threat, but also a dark horse to take the whole thing. However, we haven't seen the same scoring savvy that he showed last year in any of his matches against top competition this year. He's got a great shot to win a couple NCAA matches again, but he'll need to rekindle some things we haven't seen yet this year to make an AA run.
B-Lee--I love how hard this dude has worked to get back and to be ready to bang headed into Big 10s. He's capable of some interesting moments again. Sadly, though, he will need to rediscover one or two more helpings of that past prowess to make a run.
G-Rooks--He's come agonizingly close before, so I wouldn't count him out. Like last year, he needs a workable draw, and he needs to get hot. It's not probable--but not impossible. He's got a really similar mix of results to last year, and he seems headed for a similar seed.
 
Notable others:
DJ Washington--Not sure why he's struggled so much for a sustained period now, but I would have had him in the "small chance" category for sure early this season. He doesn't look like himself at all right now, so it's hard to imagine much post-season impact from him unless he recovers from whatever is ailing him very quickly.
Blake Boarman--Breakout year for Blake. He seems headed for an NCAA bid with a sparkling record of 17-4. But he wrestles a lesser schedule, so it's hard to get a handle on how much he might be able to do against top guys. I'm excited to follow him at SoCon's and beyond.
Gabe Sollars--Super fun pin artist that's had a couple tight ones with AA contenders. He hasn't quite broken through against the upper tier; but if he manages to get into the tournament, he could make some noise.
Brody Baumann--He's another one that needs to sneak into the tournament first, but that shows flashes of creating interesting upsets.
Evan Bates--He's solid. He beats who he should, but loses fairly clearly against the top 30. Getting into the tournament, which he could very likely do, would be a good result for him.
Connor Barket--Big strides forward, but he'll need a special performance at the ACC tournament to get into NCAAs.
Brodie Porter--Same as Barket...big strides, but likely a year or two away from big noise.
Nick Wilham--Admirable job jumping in at 285, but would also need a huge conference tournament.
 

Kayla Miracle also took gold (which matters a lot..explained below). Jacob Moran wrestled for Puerto Rico and lost his only match, 3-1, to the Ecuadorian who took bronze.
 
These Pan Am championships matter for international seeding points, including for the Olympics, so we took them seriously.
 
However, the real event is this weekend--the Pan Am Olympic Qualifier tournament. All 18 Olympic weights will wrestle until there is a Top 2, who will qualify their country for that given weight at the Olympics this summer. Nations who already qualified at a given weight by placing Top 5 at the 2023 Worlds will not have an entry at that weight.
 
Nick Lee will attempt to qualify us for the Olympics at 65kg and Kayla Miracle will attempt to qualify us at 62kg, where neither was successful in placing Top 5 at 2023 Worlds. Jacob Moran will once again compete for Puerto Rico as well. In addition to Lee at freestyle 65 and Kayla at women's 62, the U.S. will also attempt to qualify 57kg in freestyle, all 6 weights of Greco, and 53kg and 68kg in women's.
 
Kayla's gold at the regular Pan Am Championships  was important because she took the head-to-head gold medal match from the Canadian in a nail biter, 6-6. This gives Kayla the #1 seed and puts her opposite both the very tough Canadian and a very tough Brazilian in the Olympic Qualifier event. There is no True 2nd, so it paves the way for a much easier path to winning in the semi-finals and guaranteeing our place at the Olympics.
 
Even if Nick and Kayla qualify the weights for us, they have to come through our Olympic Trials in April like everyone else to be our representatives this summer.
 

Across the last 10 actually wrestled D1 tournaments we've gotten 23 All-Americans.  And we've seen 113 All-Americans from the last 10 actually wrestled D2, D3, NAIA, NJCAA tournaments.
 
That's 2.3 D1 and 11.3 smaller-division All-Americans per year. 
 
Who get these men's spots for us this year? 
 
I follow D1 much more than the others, so it's the one I know. Trying to see things objectively, I think only 2 AAs is the most likely scenario this year.
 
How I'd categorize our Indiana high school grads' AA chances:
 
Likely:
Mendez--He is in an always-deep 141, but he would need to lose a couple of significant upsets not to medal. He's one of 2 (maybe 3) clear gold medal contenders.
Davison--Heavyweight, contrary to high school, tends to be fairly predictable with obvious tiers. Davison seems headed for about a #6 seed, and him winning above his seed or losing below his seed outside of about 3 to 8 is unlikely.
 
Small chance:
Allred--His ranking suggests he's in about the same position he was last year heading into Big 10s, where he emerged not only as an AA threat, but also a dark horse to take the whole thing. However, we haven't seen the same scoring savvy that he showed last year in any of his matches against top competition this year. He's got a great shot to win a couple NCAA matches again, but he'll need to rekindle some things we haven't seen yet this year to make an AA run.
B-Lee--I love how hard this dude has worked to get back and to be ready to bang headed into Big 10s. He's capable of some interesting moments again. Sadly, though, he will need to rediscover one or two more helpings of that past prowess to make a run.
G-Rooks--He's come agonizingly close before, so I wouldn't count him out. Like last year, he needs a workable draw, and he needs to get hot. It's not probable--but not impossible. He's got a really similar mix of results to last year, and he seems headed for a similar seed.
 
Notable others:
DJ Washington--Not sure why he's struggled so much for a sustained period now, but I would have had him in the "small chance" category for sure early this season. He doesn't look like himself at all right now, so it's hard to imagine much post-season impact from him unless he recovers from whatever is ailing him very quickly.
Blake Boarman--Breakout year for Blake. He seems headed for an NCAA bid with a sparkling record of 17-4. But he wrestles a lesser schedule, so it's hard to get a handle on how much he might be able to do against top guys. I'm excited to follow him at SoCon's and beyond.
Gabe Sollars--Super fun pin artist that's had a couple tight ones with AA contenders. He hasn't quite broken through against the upper tier; but if he manages to get into the tournament, he could make some noise.
Brody Baumann--He's another one that needs to sneak into the tournament first, but that shows flashes of creating interesting upsets.
Evan Bates--He's solid. He beats who he should, but loses fairly clearly against the top 30. Getting into the tournament, which he could very likely do, would be a good result for him.
Connor Barket--Big strides forward, but he'll need a special performance at the ACC tournament to get into NCAAs.
Brodie Porter--Same as Barket...big strides, but likely a year or two away from big noise.
Nick Wilham--Admirable job jumping in at 285, but would also need a huge conference tournament.
 

He's right in the mix for earning his conference a 133 automatic quota slot. If so, even if he's a narrow miss at conference; he'll be in a great position to be selected to go to NCAAs.

Will we see an Evansville semi-state special--Boarman vs. Rooks--at 133?

We've gotten spoiled since then with a steady stream of 3- and 4-timers highly ranked in America. But before that, they almost never happened. When Tsirtsis and Maurer stepped on the mat at weights bigger than 103, smashing everyone from Day 1; it was literally the first time any of us had ever seen anything like it. Now we see kids like Shepherd and Kincaide, and we're like, "Nice. Kid's got potential." That era was a true renaissance for our state, that's for sure.

Will we see an Evansville semi-state special--Boarman vs. Rooks--at 133?