Indysportsfan

Both are legit contenders for the title. Not the “every one has a shot and that is why you wrestle” contender but more like “I would be surprised if they are not under the lights” contenders.

If I would have kept this spreadsheet to myself it would have provided me a huge leg-up in the Pick ‘em contest —- hindsight is always 20/20

DONE -- So far the State ranked kids are doing extremely well. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tl9p8Q9bfnvyd4MiW3hxApP7oqfdDtKHuUebEHCySSU/edit#gid=567672566

UPDATED but not completed

Roncalli with 8 -- 6 Champs, 1 3rd, 1 4th

152 #3 Cooper Noehre, #4 Brice Coleman and #9 Sammy Fair headline this weight. The sectional win by Coleman, over Noehre, provided an huge advantage to the Warrior wrestler because he will most likely have an easier path to the finals. Noehre owns a 5-3 OT victory over Fair this year, but Fair is the returning State runner-up and has plenty of moxy. The potential of drawing into #2 Rodgers is real for the 2nd or 3rd place finisher, something each one of them would like to avoid until Bankers. Noehre, Coleman, Fair, Akins 160 #3 Brooks Davis is the favorite at this weight but has a stiff challenge in the semi-finals vs 31-2 Jake Rebein, who lost a close contest to the Sectional & County champ #10 Aaron Taylor. I suspect Taylor will find himself in the finals,awaiting the winner of the aforementioned match. Davis is looking to build upon his 7th place State finish last year. As a side note, returning State Champ Jordan Slivka will be at New Castle so better win now to avoid that ticket round match. Davis, Taylor, Rebein, Moore 170 #5 Elijah Mahern is the favorite to take home the title at this weight. At 30-1 he has had a fantastic season; with that said some of the records of the other wrestlers are very good as well (25-8, 25-12, 29-8, 21-7, 25-10). Noah Baker led him late into the 3rd period last week before succumbing to a fall and previously ranked Damon McClain will probably be waiting in the finals. 170 at New Castle is legit, with EIGHT ranked wrestlers, so the path to Bankers will be difficult regardless of the finish here. Mahern, McClain, Baker, Clevenger 182 Wide open weight class, just waiting for somebody to grab it and OWN it. There are no ranked wrestlers in this group but coming off his Sectional win, 27-1 Hayden Filipovich, has the best record. He will be challenged by Tyler Goodall in the top half while down below Payton Frye will probably emerge as the victor, but he will have to earn it as well. 182 at New Castle is not loaded with ranked kids so a good finish here could propel someone to an unexpected trip to Bankers....Carpe Diem wrestlers. Frye, Goodall, Salazar, Filipovich 195 #12 Austin Lane is the headliner at 195 but semi-state ranked wrestlers #7 Gavin Keesee and #8 Nathan Bishop will make him earn it. Lane wrestled up early in the season so he did not see the other 2 ranked wrestlers at County, where Bishop beat Keesee. Last week Keesee returned the favor and now has the easier path to the Regional Final. I suspect Lane will be to much this Saturday and bring home a crown, especially knowing that #1 Silas Allred could be a ticket round match for 2nd or 3rd. Lane, Keesee, Bishop, Beard 220 #15 Deshawn Young will try to build on his fantastic year (Sectional and County Champ) and add the Regional title. Standing in his way is 27-2 Alexander Burton, who last week lost a 1-point decision to previously semi-state ranked Carlos Mitchell. Mitchell owns a win over Young this year although last week he lost 3-1. You also have the new kid on the block, and Sectional Champ, Jeff McClure from Perry Meridian. His record shows is 3-0 this year; until last week he was a complete unknown to me which is not a common occurrence. He had 3 falls and cemented himself as one of the contenders. McClure, Young, Burton, Mitchell 285 Hang on to your seats because the 'big guys' are bringing plenty of fire power to the event tomorrow. #9 Dennis Hubbard, #10 John Harris and #12 Antone Alexander are expected to battle for the Regional title. Hubbard owns a win over Harris at Team State, Alexander is 2-1 vs Hubbard, and Harris was county runner-up to #1 ranked Watts. It will be interesting to see who brings their 'A' game and avoids a possible ticket round match with the aforementioned Watts. Harris, Alexander, Hubbard, Jones

Allow me to provide analysis for this weekend with probably the most unbiased opinion on this forum. Let me apologize in advance this will be slanted toward 3 teams who will be battling for the Ship. It is a 3-way race with Warren Central in the drivers seat. Throughout the year the Warriors have proved they are the better overall team than both the Rebels and Falcons. They defeated them at County by a healthy margin, unless we see a few upsets along the way I believe the Warriors will prevail once again. The Rebels defeated the Falcons at County and last week in Sectionals the Falcons returned the favor by winning with approximately the same margin. As you will see there are many matches that could sway the team race to either Perry or Roncalli based on a mild upset and/or a toss-up going the other way this time.....it will be a fun day at Perry! All 3 teams advanced their 14 wrestlers in the following fashion: Warren -- 10 Champs & 4 Seconds; Roncalli -- 6 Champs, 4 Seconds, 4 Thirds; Perry -- 7 Champs, 5 Seconds and 2 Thirds. 1st round matches (3-seed vs 2-seed): Warren vs Roncalli -- 2 (182 & 220 -- HUGE matches for team scoring) Warren vs Perry -- 0 106 This weight class belongs to Mr. Cottey, with a close battle for 2nd. Cottey has wins this season over #7 Carlton Perry and #15 Kody Glithero; it would surprise me to see him get a serious challenge before Saturday morning at Bankers Life. Second place should be a tough battle between the other state ranked contenders. This season Perry is 2-0 vs Glithero but the results were 3-1 & 3-2. If the Roncalli frosh can pull off the mild upset it would definitely tighten up the team race. Cottey, Perry, Glithero, Smith 113 Similar to 106 I see a clear cut favorite in #4 David Pierson. He finished 4th in the state last year and I am certain a deep run will occur again this year. The battle for 2nd should be hotly contested between Andrew Haggerty and Christian White. I don't believe they have faced each other and common opponents are not easily found. White has the better record, Haggerty has the tougher schedule. Wilson, from Roncalli, has a win over ss #8 Brac Hooper so he has the potential to find some magic and take 3rd place. Pierson, White, Haggerty, Wilson 120 The favorite is #4 Brayden Lowery, sitting at 32-0, but he has been challenged on 2 occasions from #12 Chris Stewart (3-0 & 4-2). Both wrestlers have faced an array of challengers this year, and although Stewart has 7 losses they have come at the hands of Littell, Montgomery, Lowery, etc.... With that said I still have Lowery being the winner in convincing fashion, regardless of the score. Lowery, Stewart, Morton, Donlan 126 #11 Jeivan Ross is the wrestler to beat here and ss #7 Sam Slivka will be the opponent giving it a try in the Finals. Ross owns 2 wins over Slivka this year (Fall & 8-0) but I believe Slivka will continue to close the game on Saturday. Slivka has 4 losses on the year (Rioux & Curtis) so he has been tested plenty of times and should be ready on Saturday. Ross, who was shot in the forehead last year while laying in bed, has had an outstanding year and I pull for him in any match outside of facing a Rebel. Ross, Slivka, Mckee, Cotter 132 #2 Alec Viduya should succeed on Saturday facing a well-known wrestler in ss #5 Aundre Beatty in the final. Alec has 2 wins over Beatty (20-5 & 15-5) and should continue that streak while moving on to New Castle. This weight was deprived of an outstanding wrestler in Gavin Rose when he was forced to withdraw due to an injury; who will seize the opportunity to gain an invite to New Castle that probably would not have been available? Viduya, Beatty, Taylor, Defreese 138 One of the best weights in the Regional. You have #2 Tyce Freije, #9 Gabe Smith and #12 Jarred Rowlett battling for that #1 seed at New Castle. Freije is the favorite having multiple wins over Smith and a Team State win over Rowlett. Smith defeated Rowlett earlier in the year but that semi-final match could go either way. I believe Goodwin (Southport) has been ranked this year in the semi-state so he is a wrestler you can not overlook...quite the entertainment should be provided from this group. Freije, Smith, Rowlett, Goodwin 145 Two thoroughbreds are gearing up the finals at this weight. #4 Aiden Warren and #5 Antwaun Graves are set to do battle for the Regional crown. Warren holds the advantage this year with a 4-3 UTB victory in the County so it is obvious the 2 wrestlers are evenly matched. Given the New Castle SS will have 3 other top 10 wrestlers waiting in the wings (Mosconi, Hall & Dunasky) being the top dog at Perry will provide you a 66% chance of avoiding one of them in the ticket round vs a 66% chance of wrestling one of them if you get 2nd. Graves, Warren, Wright, Page I will finish the last 7 weights tonight -- something called 'WORK' is bothering me at the moment.

Agree, it could have been 5-3 with a late scramble that made it 7-3. I was just pointing out that the adage of "it is tough to beat someone 3 times" doesn't apply in many circumstances according to stats sites and/or Vegas betting lines.

It is not that hard if the other person is better.

The enormous difference in enrollment between the top 15 vs bottom 15 in 3A is shocking.

Potential matches between state ranked wrestlers: 106: #1 Cottey vs #7 Perry // #1 Cottey vs #15 Glithero // #7 Perry vs #15 Glithero 113: #3 Pierson vs #15 White 120: #4 Lowery vs #10 Stewart 138: #2 Freije vs #9 Smith // #2 Freije vs #12 Rowlett // #9 Smith vs #12 Rowlett 145: #4 Warren vs #5 Graves 152: #3 Noehre vs #4 Coleman // #3 Noehre vs #9 Fair // #4 Coleman vs #9 Fair 160: #3 Davis vs #10 Taylor 285: #9 Hubbard vs #10 Harris // #9 Hubbard vs #12 Alexander // #10 Harris vs #12 Alexander

So instead of moving the 3rd place wrestler to the 2nd spot, 4th place to 3rd spot and the 5th place to the 4th spot they are slotting the wrestler who finished 5th into the 2nd seed and a greater chance to advance to the Semi-State? That is odd.

Roncalli had 299.

Records are updated and sectional placing is completed .... I will update after Regional and Semi-State as well. https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1Tl9p8Q9bfnvyd4MiW3hxApP7oqfdDtKHuUebEHCySSU/edit?usp=sharing

Updated with new semi-state rankings; going forward I will strike though the wrestlers as they lose with a note to who put them out.

Down to 27 @TeamGarcia.....Duncan removed at 145, replaced with Leavell from LC.. There was another change at 170, Wagner moves in at #20, # 10 Minnick was removed. Those 2 changes pushed the Indianapolis Arsenal Tech Regional to #2 in the category of "who has the most ranked kids".

Brownsburg = 10 Avon = 9 Plainfield = 5 Ben Davis = 1 Danville = 1 Pike = 1 *Diesel Duncan is ranked but not listed in the Sectional Bracket therefore I did not count him.

I would choose from on the the 5 sectionals listed below. 3 State ranked wrestlers 103 @ Avon -- #8 Miller, #12 Garcia, #19 Neutzman 106 @ Frankfort -- #4 Chundi, #9 Anthony, #18 Crousore 120 @ Avon -- #6 Montgomery, #11 Conley, #18 Spears 132 @ Avon -- #1 Garcia, #7 Boe, #9 Campbell 285 @ Avon -- #3 Keys, #4 Sidibe, #15 Biddle 2 State ranked wrestlers with 1+ semi-state ranked wrestler 106 @ Evansville Central -- #3 Freeman, ss #4 Newman, ss# 5 Amento 113 @ Crown Point -- #4 Diaz, ss# 4 Tattini, ss#7 Ponce 113 @ Indy Aresenal Tech -- #2 Zeltzer, #18 Jefferson, ss# 5 Hughes 113 @ Westview -- #11 Weimer, #16 Boots, ss#5 Miller 126 @ Avon -- #4 Rioux, #10 Lawhead, ss#7 Boe 132 @ Mooresville -- #18 Fuqua, ss#7 Drake, ss#8 Rust 138 @ Avon -- #8 Kreitzer, #15 Reynolds, ss#7 Holt 138 @ Bloomington North -- #14 Cash, #19 Sego, ss# 6 Orman 138 @ Southport -- #2 Freije, #9 Smith, ss#7 Goodwin 138 @ Westview -- #6 Schoeff, #7 Buchanan, ss# 8 MIller 145 @ Crown Point -- #8 Burford, #19 Park, ss# 8 Hollis 145 @ Jay County -- #16 Macklin, ss# 6 Beeks, ss# 7 Schricker 152 @ Bloomington North -- #12 Heckman, #15 Ross, ss# 8 Lommock 152 @ Portage -- #10 Cervantes, ss# 3 Beehn, ss# 4 Turley 170 @ Bloomington North -- #7 Blubaugh, #20 McPike, ss# 5 Minor, ss# 7 Archer 182 @ Frankfort -- #8 Bacon, #14 Farrell, ss# 6 Mahoney 182 @ Indy Arsenal Tech -- #19 Moore, ss# 5 Sterrett, ss# 7 Huffman 182 @ Oak HIll -- #16 Rosman, #20 Funk, ss#6 Hetzner 195 @ Mooresville -- #5 Willham, ss# 5 Eason, ss # 7 Stine 220 @ Carroll (FW) -- ss# 5 Graft, ss# 6 Wicker, ss# 8 Miller 220 @ Mishawaka -- #17 Thomas, #18 Berta, ss# 6 Sandefur

Updated with Top 20

Brackets are up on Track so they are now completed. If new rankings are posted I will update the sheet (located on Google Docs) before Saturday morning.

Missing 5 brackets -- Crown Point, Elkhart Memorial, Delta, Mooresville, Southridge. Please let me know if you see errors, will update again on Saturday pm / Sunday am with results from Sectional.

I do have 5 wrestlers listed as the total on the synopsis tab.

All weights are entered. I will input records in the next 24 hours; once the last rankings are posted I will update the information. Please let me know if you found a mistake.

Each tab will now fit on 1 page if you choose to print.

Lawhead ranked 8th in State, seeded #6 at Sectional and faces a tough kid in Landon Boe in the quarters.