My opinion on what weights has the best chance to make State:
106 - Dylan Lengerich: Probably an extremely difficult ticket round match
113 - Blake Wolf: I like his chances to advance but if he draws into North Montgomery or Perry Meridian he will most likely need to beat a state ranked wrestler.
120 - Tyler Schneider: For starters he must avoid Zeke Seltzer, Carson Eldred, Christian White, Carlton Perry, AJ Gunn, Antonio Jefferson, Jacob Simone and Kody Glithero....
126 - Rider Searcy: Impressive results on trackwrestling and undefeated on the year; I give him a realistic shot of making State if (1) he can win his Regional and (2) avoid either Lowery, Pierson in the ticket round.
145: Ben Wolf: Solid wrestler, could be ranked at the NCSS but the 8 above him are all good. 145 is a rough road at NCSS so winning regional is huge to avoid the pressure of defeating 2 ranked wrestlers to make State.
152: Bryer Hall: He should qualify for State but potential ticket round matchup, with a hammer, if he draws into Perry Regional.
182: Kole Viel: Win regional and avoid North Montgomery or Perry Meridian 2nd/3rd place finisher in ticket round.
195: Kyle Krummen: Most likely 2nd place finisher at Regional, he will still advance except if he matches up with JD Farrell in the ticket round and then it goes to 50/50.
I put the o/u number at 3.5.