TysonNisley Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 (edited) This post-season has been very eventful so far, with 2 #1 upsets from sectionals and regionals, and plenty of others. These upsets have provided for many dangerous ticket round matchups that are almost impossible to predict. Fortunately, my accuracy when it comes to predictions is around 100% (don't fact check that) so if you want to know who's gonna win before it even happens, look no further than this thread here. Obviously, for these predictions, I'm gonna pick the top 4 from each weight class, and then I'll talk a little bit about why I think the weight class will play out that way. 106: 1.) Bailey 2.) Aubin 3.) Jendreas 4.) Tolbert This weight class is exciting, and has a couple of interesting stories that influenced my decisions here. First of all, I think that the clear #1 and #2 here are Bailey and Jendreas, and unfortunately, they will have to meet in the semis. There is a good argument to be made that Jendreas will beat Bailey come this Saturday, but I think that Bailey will edge him out in an exciting battle between the two. The other story here is Seth Aubin, who made a statement at sectionals by taking out #7 E'Shawn Tolbert. I knew this was a big upset, but knew that it could always be a fluke. But Aubin went on to make another statement at regionals, when he took Jeffrey Bailey to deep waters and lost only 9-6. Aubin is not messing around this post season, and I expect him to win the rematch against Tolbert in the other semis match at this weight. 113: 1.) Jackson 2.) Nowaczyk 3.) Cortez 4.) Bennett Our first major death draw in this semi-state comes in the second quarter bracket, when #10 Trevor Schammert and #15 Kaptur Nowaczyk meet in the ticket round. Nowaczyk is coming off of an impressive sectional, where he beat #12 Johnny Cortez, and a respectable regional where he kept it 4-0 with the dominant and undefeated Ashton Jackson. I could honestly see this ticket round match going either way, as Schammert is a comparable opponent to Cortez, but I think that if Nowaczyk keeps it up, he will edge out the senior in an exhilarating bout. I think Nowaczyk will extend his winning streak all the way to the finals, where he will fall to Jackson again. I think Dylan Bennett will then claim the final ticket here, edging out #20 Owen Bunton in the ticket round. 120: 1.) DeMarco 2.) Bohn 3.) Siburcrist 4.) Lewis Another death draw appears at the top of the bracket in this weight class, when undefeated #9 Christopher Bohn takes on returning state qualifier #17 Evan Cruz. While Bohn is the clear favorite here, I don't think that this match will be very one-sided, as Cruz has shown that he can take it to the best of the best, having several decision losses this season to some of the best in, and out of the state. I think Bohn edges him out and continues his undefeated streak all the way to the finals, where DeMarco hands him his first loss. I think #20 Liam Siburcrist edges the UR but tough Guillermo Rivera in round one to eventually punch his ticket, and will wrestle UR Jayden Lewis of New Prairie for the 3rd and 4th place match, in which I expect him to win. 126: 1.) Frazier 2.) Vargo 3.) Brabender 4.) Maldonado Frazier is the clear #1 here, claiming a 7-2 decision earlier this year to #2 Matteo Vargo, who is the clear #2 in this semi-state. In the second quarter bracket, we are met with yet another death draw, as two returning state qualifiers in #17 Beau Brabender and #19 Drake Fritz battle it out to see who will go to Gainbridge again (man, it just doesn't have the same ring to it), and who will sit this year out. I think Brabender edges Fritz out to punch his ticket, where I see him taking 3rd over #25 Maldonado, who is the only ranked wrestler in his quarter bracket, and should qualify without too much trouble. 132: 1.) Bahl 2.) Walker 3.) Solomey 4.) Padilla This weight class is a lot less crazy, with only one unfortunate draw, where #15 Drake Montelongo will have to wrestle #4 Anthony Bahl to qualify. I expect Bahl to win this whole weight class, so Montelongo will have to bring his A-game in order to challenge Bahl for a ticket. I see #12 Zar Walker and #13 Caleb Solomey squaring off in the semis, where I think Walker will come out on top in a close bout. Solomey should take 3rd over #18 Ruben Padilla, who will punch the last ticket in this weight class. 138: 1.) Mendez 2.) Solomey 3.) Vitello 4.) Harper Mendez has established the separation between him and the rest of the state with a pin and tech fall over #2 Cole Solomey. I don't expect any crazy headlocks to be thrown at this semi-state, so Mendez is the clear favorite, followed by the clear runner-up in Solomey. The top quarter bracket is extremely interesting in my opinion, with a top 16 matchup happening round one in #14 Stefan Vitello and #15 Hunter Miller, with UR Lucas Clement waiting for the victor in the ticket round. I expect Vitello to edge out Miller, but honestly, I think Vitello's biggest obstacle to Gainbridge is Clement, who is unranked but owns a win by fall over Vitello earlier this year, and has claimed wins over many high level wrestlers this year so far. It would not surprise me to see Clement take a win here, but I have Vitello edging Clement out. For the last spot, I think #18 Wesley Harper qualifies for state with not too much trouble, and will likely see Vitello in the third place match. 145: 1.) Torres 2.) Tattini 3.) Ellenberger 4.) Pellot Stop, whatever you are thinking, stop. I do not care. UR Caden Ellenberger was wrestling HOT at regionals, claiming a 15-3 major decision over UR but incredibly tough Logan Sertic to make it to semi-state. I think that Ellenberger pulls the upset over #24 Zymarion Hollyfield if he wrestles like he did at regionals, and avenges a loss to UR Adrian Pellot to take third here. I think the #1 and #2 at this semi-state are well established, as #3 Aidan Torres and #6 Nick Tattini battle for the championship. Torres has had Tattini's number this season so far, with two major decisions recorded against him thus far, but Tattini has shown incredible growth and adjustment, losing a mere 4-2 bout at regionals against Torres. I still expect Torres to win, but Tattini is pulling closer. 152: 1.) Goin 2.) Bisping 3.) Hood 4.) Salary The top quarter bracket features a state ranked matchup in #25 Keegan Mabie and #20 Kenneth Bisping. Will the Mishiwaka senior finally punch his ticket to state? Mabie. (please forgive me) I expect Bisping to edge out Mabie and ride his way to the finals, where an incredibly tough #1 Sammy Goin will be waiting for him. Another quarter bracket matchup that is especially interesting for me is #22 Aiden Costello and UR Noah Salary. Both have had comparable matches to Bisping, and is a toss up in my opinion. And, well, if I had to choose one of them, of course I'm going to have to go with my boy from La Porte. Honestly though, expect this match to be razor thin. I think Hood qualifies with no real trouble, where I think he will take 3rd. Of course, Sammy wins the whole thing, and by a lot. This kid is my pick to win it all. 160: 1.) Goodwin 2.) Pittman 3.) Steenbeke 4.) Powell We have a crazy semis match on the bottom half of the bracket here with #3 Cody Goodwin and #7 AJ Steenbeke. I think Goodwin is a clear favorite here, as he has been extremely dominant all season, and is a potential title contender, but Steenbeke is as funky as they get, and has a real shot to pull the upset here. I don't think it happens here, but it also wouldn't out of the ordinary, in my opinion, if it does happen. #22 Bradey Pittman looks to have another potential route to his second semi-state finals appearance, but he will have to manage an UR but tough Carlos Perez-Xochipa in the ticket round, followed by #19 Caleb Carter or UR Cameron Powell in the semis. I chose Powell over Carter in the top bracket ticket round, but that matchup is really a toss up too, but Powell is a returning qualifier, so he most definitely has to tools to win here, and even potentially make the finals. 170: 1.) Svantner 2.) White 3.) Herrera 4.) Valdez I think that both #17 Jesse Herrera and #24 Connor Cervantes were looking to make a run to the state tournament this year, especially when Cervantes upset Herrera at sectionals. However, UR Deon Hurn had something to say about that at regionals when he stuck Cervantes in the first period. And now, unfortunately, Cervantes has #14 Anthony White in a tough round one match. Cervantes clearly has the tools to make something happen here, as he has a win over someone that could potentially win the semi-state here, but I think White gets the job done, and then wins his ticket round match afterwards. Svantner looked impressive at regionals, and I think that he will win the rematches against both Herrera and White this weekend. For the last spot, I see three potential qualifiers in UR Luke Stento, #22 Isaac Valdez, and the dangerous Deon Hurn. I think Stento certainly has the tools to qualify, and I predict him to win round one over Hurn, but ultimately I think Valdez wins a tight one here to punch his ticket. 182: 1.) Cruz 2.) Simpson 3.) Sues 4.) McCrum If Cruz didn't share a regional with two of the best P4P wrestlers in the country, I would've said that he had the most dominant performance in Crown Point this past weekend. He collected two 25-10 tech falls and a 23-8 tech fall against the #6 in the state, and I think this semi-state title is easily his, even with a powerful #4 Jake Simpson meeting him on the other side of the bracket. #13 Demetrius Dean draws Cruz in the ticket round, so unless Dean wrestles out of his mind, he may be going home without a ticket punched. #6 Jake Sues and Simpson will meet in the semis, which should be a great match: one that has happened 3 times already this season, with Simpson leading the series 2-1. I expect Simpson to win this one, as he has won the last two meetings between the two. For the last spot, we have 4 UR wrestlers looking to fight for a ticket, and I think Kooper Kinsler and Matt McCrum will meet in the ticket round, with McCrum taking that last spot in a close bout. 195: 1.) Barket 2.) Chavez 3.) DeMarco 4.) Clark This weight class is loaded. 4 top 10 wrestlers all establish themselves as the ones that will punch their tickets, with no real spoilers from what I can see that could take one of these top 4 out of the state tournament. However, predicting the order that these guys will place is a real challenge, as we have a #3, #6, #7, and #9 all battling for the championship here. I think Barket establishes himself as the clear favorite here, and I'm not too confident that any of these other three wrestlers can spoil that for him, although I doubt these matches will be very dominant either, with the level of talent we are seeing here. #9 Christian Chavez is as tough as they get, and can beat the best wrestlers in the state if he's on it, and I predict a slight upset on the top half of the bracket, with Chavez taking out #6 Will Clark for a spot in the finals. #7 Gage DeMarco and Clark will meet in the 3rd place match for another exciting match between these two, and although Clark leads the series 3-1, I think DeMarco will come back and make it 3-2 this weekend. 220: 1.) Carroll 2.) Grange 3.) Clark 4.) Cree Will Christian Carroll see the second period this weekend? We will get to see just how above the rest of the field #1 in the nation Christian Carroll is when he faces off against #3 Juan Grange in the semi-state finals. Grange, while the clear underdog here, has put together a fantastic season thus far, having only one blemish on his record his season in a 3-2 loss to #1 at HWT and nationally ranked Leighton Jones. I think it's realistic that Grange could make it far into the match with Carroll, but it's also a possibility that Carroll continues to pin his way through the whole state tournament. In the bottom quarter bracket here, we have a death draw in #10 Paul Clark and #12 Corey Hill. I think Clark will edge him out to make it to state, where he will see #15 Jordan Cree in the 3rd place match. Cree should have no problem punching his ticket here, and he will be our 4th place winner here. 285: 1.) Whitenack 2.) Begley 3.) Sparks 4.) White I am a Begley believer. UR Liam Begley is an undersized heavyweight, yet he has put together a great post season run thus far, losing only to #2 Hunter Whitenack, who... is not an undersized heavyweight. I think that Begley will ride this momentum all the way to the finals where he will meet up with Whitenack again, where I think Whitenack will once again win. Whitenack will run into #21 Peyton Kendall in the ticket round, so unfortunately, one of these state qualifiers will not be going again this year. As for #14 Theodore Sparks and #15 Trey White, I think that they make it pretty easily into the semis, where I predict them to fall and meet in the 3rd place match, where they will have a rematch of the DAC finals. I expect Sparks to win this rematch and take 3rd. That's all I got. Once I get results and see state brackets I will get to work on a state write up. Edited February 8, 2022 by TysonNisley busstogate, D Summar and Sig40 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DuneFan Posted February 7, 2022 Share Posted February 7, 2022 Great writeup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
D Summar Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 6 hours ago, TysonNisley said: This post-season has been very eventful so far, with 2 #1 upsets from sectionals and regionals, and plenty of others. These upsets have provided for many dangerous ticket round matchups that are almost impossible to predict. Fortunately, my accuracy when it comes to predictions is around 100% (don't fact check that) so if you want to know who's gonna win before it even happens, look no further than this thread here. Obviously, for these predictions, I'm gonna pick the top 4 from each weight class, and then I'll talk a little bit about why I think the weight class will play out that way. 106: 1.) Bailey 2.) Aubin 3.) Jendreas 4.) Tolbert This weight class is exciting, and has a couple of interesting stories that influenced my decisions here. First of all, I think that the clear #1 and #2 here are Bailey and Jendreas, and unfortunately, they will have to meet in the semis. There is a good argument to be made that Jendreas will beat Bailey come this Saturday, but I think that Bailey will edge him out in an exciting battle between the two. The other story here is Seth Aubin, who made a statement at sectionals by taking out #7 E'Shawn Tolbert. I knew this was a big upset, but knew that it could always be a fluke. But Aubin went on to make another statement at regionals, when he took Jeffrey Bailey to deep waters and lost only 9-6. Aubin is not messing around this post season, and I expect him to win the rematch against Tolbert in the other semis match at this weight. 113: 1.) Jackson 2.) Nowaczyk 3.) Cortez 4.) Bennett Our first major death draw in this semi-state comes in the second quarter bracket, when #10 Trevor Schammert and #15 Kaptur Nowaczyk meet in the ticket round. Nowaczyk is coming off of an impressive sectional, where he beat #12 Johnny Cortez, and a respectable regional where he kept it 4-0 with the dominant and undefeated Ashton Jackson. I could honestly see this ticket round match going either way, as Schammert is a comparable opponent to Cortez, but I think that if Nowaczyk keeps it up, he will edge out the senior in an exhilarating bout. I think Nowaczyk will extend his winning streak all the way to the finals, where he will fall to Jackson again. I think Dylan Bennett will then claim the final ticket here, edging out #20 Owen Bunton in the ticket round. 120: 1.) DeMarco 2.) Bohn 3.) Siburcrist 4.) Lewis Another death draw appears at the top of the bracket in this weight class, when undefeated #9 Christopher Bohn takes on returning state qualifier #17 Evan Cruz. While Bohn is the clear favorite here, I don't think that this match will be very one-sided, as Cruz has shown that he can take it to the best of the best, having several decision losses this season to some of the best in, and out of the state. I think Bohn edges him out and continues his undefeated streak all the way to the finals, where DeMarco hands him his first loss. I think #20 Liam Siburcrist edges the UR but tough Guillermo Rivera in round one to eventually punch his ticket, and will wrestle UR Jayden Lewis of New Prairie for the 3rd and 4th place match, in which I expect him to win. 126: 1.) Frazier 2.) Vargo 3.) Brabender 4.) Maldonado Frazier is the clear #1 here, claiming a 7-2 decision earlier this year to #2 Matteo Vargo, who is the clear #2 in this semi-state. In the second quarter bracket, we are met with yet another death draw, as two returning state qualifiers in #17 Beau Brabender and #19 Drake Fritz battle it out to see who will go to Gainbridge again (man, it just doesn't have the same ring to it), and who will sit this year out. I think Brabender edges Fritz out to punch his ticket, where I see him taking 3rd over #25 Maldonado, who is the only ranked wrestler in his quarter bracket, and should qualify without too much trouble. 132: 1.) Bahl 2.) Walker 3.) Solomey 4.) Padilla This weight class is a lot less crazy, with only one unfortunate draw, where #15 Drake Montelongo will have to wrestle #4 Anthony Bahl to qualify. I expect Bahl to win this whole weight class, so Montelongo will have to bring his A-game in order to challenge Bahl for a ticket. I see #12 Zar Walker and #13 Caleb Solomey squaring off in the semis, where I think Walker will come out on top in a close bout. Solomey should take 3rd over #18 Ruben Padilla, who will punch the last ticket in this weight class. 138: 1.) Mendez 2.) Solomey 3.) Vitello 4.) Harper Mendez has established the separation between him and the rest of the state with a pin and tech fall over #2 Cole Solomey. I don't expect any crazy headlocks to be thrown at this semi-state, so Mendez is the clear favorite, followed by the clear runner-up in Solomey. The top quarter bracket is extremely interesting in my opinion, with a top 16 matchup happening round one in #14 Stefan Vitello and #15 Hunter Miller, with UR Lucas Clement waiting for the victor in the ticket round. I expect Vitello to edge out Miller, but honestly, I think Vitello's biggest obstacle to Gainbridge is Clement, who is unranked but owns a win by fall over Vitello earlier this year, and has claimed wins over many high level wrestlers this year so far. It would not surprise me to see Clement take a win here, but I have Vitello edging Clement out. For the last spot, I think #18 Wesley Harper qualifies for state with not too much trouble, and will likely see Vitello in the third place match. 145: 1.) Torres 2.) Tattini 3.) Ellenberger 4.) Pellot Stop, whatever you are thinking, stop. I do not care. UR Caden Ellenberger was wrestling HOT at regionals, claiming a 15-3 major decision over UR but incredibly tough Logan Sertic to make it to semi-state. I think that Ellenberger pulls the upset over #24 Zymarion Hollyfield if he wrestles like he did at regionals, and avenges a loss to UR Adrian Pellot to take third here. I think the #1 and #2 at this semi-state are well established, as #3 Aidan Torres and #6 Nick Tattini battle for the championship. Torres has had Tattini's number this season so far, with two major decisions recorded against him thus far, but Tattini has shown incredible growth and adjustment, losing a mere 4-2 bout at regionals against Torres. I still expect Torres to win, but Tattini is pulling closer. 152: 1.) Goin 2.) Bisping 3.) Hood 4.) Salary The top quarter bracket features a state ranked matchup in #25 Keegan Mabie and #20 Kenneth Bisping. Will the Mishiwaka senior finally punch his ticket to state? Mabie. (please forgive me) I expect Bisping to edge out Mabie and ride his way to the finals, where an incredibly tough #1 Sammy Goin will be waiting for him. Another quarter bracket matchup that is especially interesting for me is #22 Aiden Costello and UR Noah Salary. Both have had comparable matches to Bisping, and is a toss up in my opinion. And, well, if I had to choose one of them, of course I'm going to have to go with my boy from La Porte. Honestly though, expect this match to be razor thin. I think Hood qualifies with no real trouble, where I think he will take 3rd. Of course, Sammy wins the whole thing, and by a lot. This kid is my pick to win it all. 160: 1.) Goodwin 2.) Pittman 3.) Steenbeke 4.) Powell We have a crazy semis match on the bottom half of the bracket here with #3 Cody Goodwin and #7 AJ Steenbeke. I think Goodwin is a clear favorite here, as he has been extremely dominant all season, and is a potential title contender, but Steenbeke is as funky as they get, and has a real shot to pull the upset here. I don't think it happens here, but it also wouldn't out of the ordinary, in my opinion, if it does happen. #22 Bradey Pittman looks to have another potential route to his second semi-state finals appearance, but he will have to manage an UR but tough Carlos Perez-Xochipa in the ticket round, followed by #19 Caleb Carter or UR Cameron Powell in the semis. I chose Powell over Carter in the top bracket ticket round, but that matchup is really a toss up too, but Powell is a returning qualifier, so he most definitely has to tools to win here, and even potentially make the finals. 170: 1.) Svanter 2.) White 3.) Herrera 4.) Valdez I think that both #17 Jesse Herrera and #24 Connor Cervantes were looking to make a run to the state tournament this year, especially when Cervantes upset Herrera at sectionals. However, UR Deon Hurn had something to say about that at regionals when he stuck Cervantes in the first period. And now, unfortunately, Cervantes has #14 Anthony White in a tough round one match. Cervantes clearly has the tools to make something happen here, as he has a win over someone that could potentially win the semi-state here, but I think White gets the job done, and then wins his ticket round match afterwards. Svanter looked impressive at regionals, and I think that he will win the rematches against both Herrera and White this weekend. For the last spot, I see three potential qualifiers in UR Luke Stento, #22 Isaac Valdez, and the dangerous Deon Hurn. I think Stento certainly has the tools to qualify, and I predict him to win round one over Hurn, but ultimately I think Valdez wins a tight one here to punch his ticket. 182: 1.) Cruz 2.) Simpson 3.) Sues 4.) McCrum If Cruz didn't share a regional with two of the best P4P wrestlers in the country, I would've said that he had the most dominant performance in Crown Point this past weekend. He collected two 25-10 tech falls and a 23-8 tech fall against the #6 in the state, and I think this semi-state title is easily his, even with a powerful #4 Jake Simpson meeting him on the other side of the bracket. #13 Demetrius Dean draws Cruz in the ticket round, so unless Dean wrestles out of his mind, he may be going home without a ticket punched. #6 Jake Sues and Simpson will meet in the semis, which should be a great match: one that has happened 3 times already this season, with Simpson leading the series 2-1. I expect Simpson to win this one, as he has won the last two meetings between the two. For the last spot, we have 4 UR wrestlers looking to fight for a ticket, and I think Kooper Kinsler and Matt McCrum will meet in the ticket round, with McCrum taking that last spot in a close bout. 195: 1.) Barket 2.) Chavez 3.) DeMarco 4.) Clark This weight class is loaded. 4 top 10 wrestlers all establish themselves as the ones that will punch their tickets, with no real spoilers from what I can see that could take one of these top 4 out of the state tournament. However, predicting the order that these guys will place is a real challenge, as we have a #3, #6, #7, and #9 all battling for the championship here. I think Barket establishes himself as the clear favorite here, and I'm not too confident that any of these other three wrestlers can spoil that for him, although I doubt these matches will be very dominant either, with the level of talent we are seeing here. #9 Christian Chavez is as tough as they get, and can beat the best wrestlers in the state if he's on it, and I predict a slight upset on the top half of the bracket, with Chavez taking out #6 Will Clark for a spot in the finals. #7 Gage DeMarco and Clark will meet in the 3rd place match for another exciting match between these two, and although Clark leads the series 2-1, I think DeMarco will come back and even the series. 220: 1.) Carroll 2.) Grange 3.) Clark 4.) Cree Will Christian Carroll see the second period this weekend? We will get to see just how above the rest of the field #1 in the nation Christian Carroll is when he faces off against #3 Juan Grange in the semi-state finals. Grange, while the clear underdog here, has put together a fantastic season thus far, having only one blemish on his record his season in a 3-2 loss to #1 at HWT and nationally ranked Leighton Jones. I think it's realistic that Grange could make it far into the match with Carroll, but it's also a possibility that Carroll continues to pin his way through the whole state tournament. In the bottom quarter bracket here, we have a death draw in #10 Paul Clark and #12 Corey Hill. I think Clark will edge him out to make it to state, where he will see #15 Jordan Cree in the 3rd place match. Cree should have no problem punching his ticket here, and he will be our 4th place winner here. 285: 1.) Whitenack 2.) Begley 3.) Sparks 4.) White I am a Begley believer. UR Liam Begley is an undersized heavyweight, yet he has put together a great post season run thus far, losing only to #2 Hunter Whitenack, who... is not an undersized heavyweight. I think that Begley will ride this momentum all the way to the finals where he will meet up with Whitenack again, where I think Whitenack will once again win. Whitenack will run into #21 Peyton Kendall in the ticket round, so unfortunately, one of these state qualifiers will not be going again this year. As for #14 Theodore Sparks and #15 Trey White, I think that they make it pretty easily into the semis, where I predict them to fall and meet in the 3rd place match, where they will have a rematch of the DAC finals. I expect Sparks to win this rematch and take 3rd. That's all I got. Once I get results and see state brackets I will get to work on a state write up. At 195 Clark leads the series over DeMarco 3-1. He has won at dual meet, DAC conference finals, and now at Regionals. DeMarco won at the Al Smith. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TysonNisley Posted February 8, 2022 Author Share Posted February 8, 2022 17 minutes ago, D Summar said: At 195 Clark leads the series over DeMarco 3-1. He has won at dual meet, DAC conference finals, and now at Regionals. DeMarco won at the Al Smith. thanks, fixed it D Summar 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrestling10101 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 22 hours ago, TysonNisley said: This post-season has been very eventful so far, with 2 #1 upsets from sectionals and regionals, and plenty of others. These upsets have provided for many dangerous ticket round matchups that are almost impossible to predict. Fortunately, my accuracy when it comes to predictions is around 100% (don't fact check that) so if you want to know who's gonna win before it even happens, look no further than this thread here. Obviously, for these predictions, I'm gonna pick the top 4 from each weight class, and then I'll talk a little bit about why I think the weight class will play out that way. 106: 1.) Bailey 2.) Aubin 3.) Jendreas 4.) Tolbert This weight class is exciting, and has a couple of interesting stories that influenced my decisions here. First of all, I think that the clear #1 and #2 here are Bailey and Jendreas, and unfortunately, they will have to meet in the semis. There is a good argument to be made that Jendreas will beat Bailey come this Saturday, but I think that Bailey will edge him out in an exciting battle between the two. The other story here is Seth Aubin, who made a statement at sectionals by taking out #7 E'Shawn Tolbert. I knew this was a big upset, but knew that it could always be a fluke. But Aubin went on to make another statement at regionals, when he took Jeffrey Bailey to deep waters and lost only 9-6. Aubin is not messing around this post season, and I expect him to win the rematch against Tolbert in the other semis match at this weight. 113: 1.) Jackson 2.) Nowaczyk 3.) Cortez 4.) Bennett Our first major death draw in this semi-state comes in the second quarter bracket, when #10 Trevor Schammert and #15 Kaptur Nowaczyk meet in the ticket round. Nowaczyk is coming off of an impressive sectional, where he beat #12 Johnny Cortez, and a respectable regional where he kept it 4-0 with the dominant and undefeated Ashton Jackson. I could honestly see this ticket round match going either way, as Schammert is a comparable opponent to Cortez, but I think that if Nowaczyk keeps it up, he will edge out the senior in an exhilarating bout. I think Nowaczyk will extend his winning streak all the way to the finals, where he will fall to Jackson again. I think Dylan Bennett will then claim the final ticket here, edging out #20 Owen Bunton in the ticket round. 120: 1.) DeMarco 2.) Bohn 3.) Siburcrist 4.) Lewis Another death draw appears at the top of the bracket in this weight class, when undefeated #9 Christopher Bohn takes on returning state qualifier #17 Evan Cruz. While Bohn is the clear favorite here, I don't think that this match will be very one-sided, as Cruz has shown that he can take it to the best of the best, having several decision losses this season to some of the best in, and out of the state. I think Bohn edges him out and continues his undefeated streak all the way to the finals, where DeMarco hands him his first loss. I think #20 Liam Siburcrist edges the UR but tough Guillermo Rivera in round one to eventually punch his ticket, and will wrestle UR Jayden Lewis of New Prairie for the 3rd and 4th place match, in which I expect him to win. 126: 1.) Frazier 2.) Vargo 3.) Brabender 4.) Maldonado Frazier is the clear #1 here, claiming a 7-2 decision earlier this year to #2 Matteo Vargo, who is the clear #2 in this semi-state. In the second quarter bracket, we are met with yet another death draw, as two returning state qualifiers in #17 Beau Brabender and #19 Drake Fritz battle it out to see who will go to Gainbridge again (man, it just doesn't have the same ring to it), and who will sit this year out. I think Brabender edges Fritz out to punch his ticket, where I see him taking 3rd over #25 Maldonado, who is the only ranked wrestler in his quarter bracket, and should qualify without too much trouble. 132: 1.) Bahl 2.) Walker 3.) Solomey 4.) Padilla This weight class is a lot less crazy, with only one unfortunate draw, where #15 Drake Montelongo will have to wrestle #4 Anthony Bahl to qualify. I expect Bahl to win this whole weight class, so Montelongo will have to bring his A-game in order to challenge Bahl for a ticket. I see #12 Zar Walker and #13 Caleb Solomey squaring off in the semis, where I think Walker will come out on top in a close bout. Solomey should take 3rd over #18 Ruben Padilla, who will punch the last ticket in this weight class. 138: 1.) Mendez 2.) Solomey 3.) Vitello 4.) Harper Mendez has established the separation between him and the rest of the state with a pin and tech fall over #2 Cole Solomey. I don't expect any crazy headlocks to be thrown at this semi-state, so Mendez is the clear favorite, followed by the clear runner-up in Solomey. The top quarter bracket is extremely interesting in my opinion, with a top 16 matchup happening round one in #14 Stefan Vitello and #15 Hunter Miller, with UR Lucas Clement waiting for the victor in the ticket round. I expect Vitello to edge out Miller, but honestly, I think Vitello's biggest obstacle to Gainbridge is Clement, who is unranked but owns a win by fall over Vitello earlier this year, and has claimed wins over many high level wrestlers this year so far. It would not surprise me to see Clement take a win here, but I have Vitello edging Clement out. For the last spot, I think #18 Wesley Harper qualifies for state with not too much trouble, and will likely see Vitello in the third place match. 145: 1.) Torres 2.) Tattini 3.) Ellenberger 4.) Pellot Stop, whatever you are thinking, stop. I do not care. UR Caden Ellenberger was wrestling HOT at regionals, claiming a 15-3 major decision over UR but incredibly tough Logan Sertic to make it to semi-state. I think that Ellenberger pulls the upset over #24 Zymarion Hollyfield if he wrestles like he did at regionals, and avenges a loss to UR Adrian Pellot to take third here. I think the #1 and #2 at this semi-state are well established, as #3 Aidan Torres and #6 Nick Tattini battle for the championship. Torres has had Tattini's number this season so far, with two major decisions recorded against him thus far, but Tattini has shown incredible growth and adjustment, losing a mere 4-2 bout at regionals against Torres. I still expect Torres to win, but Tattini is pulling closer. 152: 1.) Goin 2.) Bisping 3.) Hood 4.) Salary The top quarter bracket features a state ranked matchup in #25 Keegan Mabie and #20 Kenneth Bisping. Will the Mishiwaka senior finally punch his ticket to state? Mabie. (please forgive me) I expect Bisping to edge out Mabie and ride his way to the finals, where an incredibly tough #1 Sammy Goin will be waiting for him. Another quarter bracket matchup that is especially interesting for me is #22 Aiden Costello and UR Noah Salary. Both have had comparable matches to Bisping, and is a toss up in my opinion. And, well, if I had to choose one of them, of course I'm going to have to go with my boy from La Porte. Honestly though, expect this match to be razor thin. I think Hood qualifies with no real trouble, where I think he will take 3rd. Of course, Sammy wins the whole thing, and by a lot. This kid is my pick to win it all. 160: 1.) Goodwin 2.) Pittman 3.) Steenbeke 4.) Powell We have a crazy semis match on the bottom half of the bracket here with #3 Cody Goodwin and #7 AJ Steenbeke. I think Goodwin is a clear favorite here, as he has been extremely dominant all season, and is a potential title contender, but Steenbeke is as funky as they get, and has a real shot to pull the upset here. I don't think it happens here, but it also wouldn't out of the ordinary, in my opinion, if it does happen. #22 Bradey Pittman looks to have another potential route to his second semi-state finals appearance, but he will have to manage an UR but tough Carlos Perez-Xochipa in the ticket round, followed by #19 Caleb Carter or UR Cameron Powell in the semis. I chose Powell over Carter in the top bracket ticket round, but that matchup is really a toss up too, but Powell is a returning qualifier, so he most definitely has to tools to win here, and even potentially make the finals. 170: 1.) Svantner 2.) White 3.) Herrera 4.) Valdez I think that both #17 Jesse Herrera and #24 Connor Cervantes were looking to make a run to the state tournament this year, especially when Cervantes upset Herrera at sectionals. However, UR Deon Hurn had something to say about that at regionals when he stuck Cervantes in the first period. And now, unfortunately, Cervantes has #14 Anthony White in a tough round one match. Cervantes clearly has the tools to make something happen here, as he has a win over someone that could potentially win the semi-state here, but I think White gets the job done, and then wins his ticket round match afterwards. Svantner looked impressive at regionals, and I think that he will win the rematches against both Herrera and White this weekend. For the last spot, I see three potential qualifiers in UR Luke Stento, #22 Isaac Valdez, and the dangerous Deon Hurn. I think Stento certainly has the tools to qualify, and I predict him to win round one over Hurn, but ultimately I think Valdez wins a tight one here to punch his ticket. 182: 1.) Cruz 2.) Simpson 3.) Sues 4.) McCrum If Cruz didn't share a regional with two of the best P4P wrestlers in the country, I would've said that he had the most dominant performance in Crown Point this past weekend. He collected two 25-10 tech falls and a 23-8 tech fall against the #6 in the state, and I think this semi-state title is easily his, even with a powerful #4 Jake Simpson meeting him on the other side of the bracket. #13 Demetrius Dean draws Cruz in the ticket round, so unless Dean wrestles out of his mind, he may be going home without a ticket punched. #6 Jake Sues and Simpson will meet in the semis, which should be a great match: one that has happened 3 times already this season, with Simpson leading the series 2-1. I expect Simpson to win this one, as he has won the last two meetings between the two. For the last spot, we have 4 UR wrestlers looking to fight for a ticket, and I think Kooper Kinsler and Matt McCrum will meet in the ticket round, with McCrum taking that last spot in a close bout. 195: 1.) Barket 2.) Chavez 3.) DeMarco 4.) Clark This weight class is loaded. 4 top 10 wrestlers all establish themselves as the ones that will punch their tickets, with no real spoilers from what I can see that could take one of these top 4 out of the state tournament. However, predicting the order that these guys will place is a real challenge, as we have a #3, #6, #7, and #9 all battling for the championship here. I think Barket establishes himself as the clear favorite here, and I'm not too confident that any of these other three wrestlers can spoil that for him, although I doubt these matches will be very dominant either, with the level of talent we are seeing here. #9 Christian Chavez is as tough as they get, and can beat the best wrestlers in the state if he's on it, and I predict a slight upset on the top half of the bracket, with Chavez taking out #6 Will Clark for a spot in the finals. #7 Gage DeMarco and Clark will meet in the 3rd place match for another exciting match between these two, and although Clark leads the series 3-1, I think DeMarco will come back and make it 3-2 this weekend. 220: 1.) Carroll 2.) Grange 3.) Clark 4.) Cree Will Christian Carroll see the second period this weekend? We will get to see just how above the rest of the field #1 in the nation Christian Carroll is when he faces off against #3 Juan Grange in the semi-state finals. Grange, while the clear underdog here, has put together a fantastic season thus far, having only one blemish on his record his season in a 3-2 loss to #1 at HWT and nationally ranked Leighton Jones. I think it's realistic that Grange could make it far into the match with Carroll, but it's also a possibility that Carroll continues to pin his way through the whole state tournament. In the bottom quarter bracket here, we have a death draw in #10 Paul Clark and #12 Corey Hill. I think Clark will edge him out to make it to state, where he will see #15 Jordan Cree in the 3rd place match. Cree should have no problem punching his ticket here, and he will be our 4th place winner here. 285: 1.) Whitenack 2.) Begley 3.) Sparks 4.) White I am a Begley believer. UR Liam Begley is an undersized heavyweight, yet he has put together a great post season run thus far, losing only to #2 Hunter Whitenack, who... is not an undersized heavyweight. I think that Begley will ride this momentum all the way to the finals where he will meet up with Whitenack again, where I think Whitenack will once again win. Whitenack will run into #21 Peyton Kendall in the ticket round, so unfortunately, one of these state qualifiers will not be going again this year. As for #14 Theodore Sparks and #15 Trey White, I think that they make it pretty easily into the semis, where I predict them to fall and meet in the 3rd place match, where they will have a rematch of the DAC finals. I expect Sparks to win this rematch and take 3rd. That's all I got. Once I get results and see state brackets I will get to work on a state write up. I agree with 90% of your predictions. But I’ve seen a lot of you guys are not picking Denton from penn high school. Last year was the same thing and he ended up with 3rd. The kids a stud. He’s going to pull the upset and prove a lot of you guys wrong I’ve seen this kid wrestle and beat a lot of my sons friends that were good. At 132, I’m predicting 1)bahl. 2) walker. 3)Denton. 4) solomey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TysonNisley Posted February 8, 2022 Author Share Posted February 8, 2022 1 hour ago, Wrestling10101 said: I agree with 90% of your predictions. But I’ve seen a lot of you guys are not picking Denton from penn high school. Last year was the same thing and he ended up with 3rd. The kids a stud. He’s going to pull the upset and prove a lot of you guys wrong I’ve seen this kid wrestle and beat a lot of my sons friends that were good. At 132, I’m predicting 1)bahl. 2) walker. 3)Denton. 4) solomey. Denton is definitely a talented wrestler, and I think I actually forgot to mention him in my write up, which was completely accidental. However, going from 113 to 132 is a tricky thing to do, and I think he's taken a few losses this year that reflect that (not trying to diminish him as a wrestler at all, just stating that purely for the sake of making a good prediction). I still have Padilla, but I would not see surprised to see Denton break through and make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
M109R Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 1 hour ago, Wrestling10101 said: I agree with 90% of your predictions. But I’ve seen a lot of you guys are not picking Denton from penn high school. Last year was the same thing and he ended up with 3rd. The kids a stud. He’s going to pull the upset and prove a lot of you guys wrong I’ve seen this kid wrestle and beat a lot of my sons friends that were good. At 132, I’m predicting 1)bahl. 2) walker. 3)Denton. 4) solomey. People are not picking him because at times this year , he has appeared to struggle with the weight jump . Kids are much physically stronger at 132 . He has been wrestling well as of late . I thought he might be injured because he FF the regional championship against Walker. busstogate 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wrestling10101 Posted February 8, 2022 Share Posted February 8, 2022 21 minutes ago, M109R said: People are not picking him because at times this year , he has appeared to struggle with the weight jump . Kids are much physically stronger at 132 . He has been wrestling well as of late . I thought he might be injured because he FF the regional championship against Walker. This is true he has been injured dealing with a serious injury that led to him getting beat by the two kids at al smith. My nephew wrestled at wawasee and he said he forfeited at regionals because during his match with drake he dislocated his jaw. I am not saying I don’t disagree that Ruben is a stud, all I am saying is that if Denton comes into semi state healthy and feeling good. He will be taking some names and be making his way down to Indy busstogate 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cmoney125 Posted February 9, 2022 Share Posted February 9, 2022 7 hours ago, Wrestling10101 said: This is true he has been injured dealing with a serious injury that led to him getting beat by the two kids at al smith. My nephew wrestled at wawasee and he said he forfeited at regionals because during his match with drake he dislocated his jaw. I am not saying I don’t disagree that Ruben is a stud, all I am saying is that if Denton comes into semi state healthy and feeling good. He will be taking some names and be making his way down to Indy That did, in fact, happen. Kid's tough, they popped it back in and he finished the match. Also, Hollyfield has been wrestling his butt off in the playoffs, he is also coming in HOT and I do believe he will make it to Indy. D Summar and busstogate 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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