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2015 NCAA All Americans and where they were ranked in High School


grecoref

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Moral of the story, rankings don't mean much

Well...sort of.  Those are entire class rankings so they're a little misleading.  One way of seeing it is this: if you're not a top 100 recruit (top 10 recruit in your expected college weight among your graduating class), you have a very small chance of being an NCAA all-american.

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Well...sort of.  Those are entire class rankings so they're a little misleading.  One way of seeing it is this: if you're not a top 100 recruit (top 10 recruit in your expected college weight among your graduating class), you have a very small chance of being an NCAA all-american.

A little more than a small chance, if my math is correct.  27.5% chance if you are not in the top 100

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A little more than a small chance, if my math is correct.  27.5% chance if you are not in the top 100

That should be 17.5% of the all-americans were not ranked in the top 100 recruits coming out. So at a given weight, 6 or 7 of the roughly 40 active D1 guys who were ranked in the top 10 when they graduated in the past 5 years will be all-americans in a certain year. Meanwhile, 1 or 2 of the roughly 200-250 "unranked-recruit" guys who are on D1 rosters at that weight from the last 5 graduating classes will be an all-american in a given year. I'm just saying...the odds are much smaller if you didn't make that list.

Edited by maligned
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That should be 17.5% of the all-americans were not ranked in the top 100 recruits coming out. So at a given weight, 6 or 7 of the roughly 40 active D1 guys who were ranked in the top 10 when they graduated in the past 5 years will be all-americans in a certain year. Meanwhile, 1 or 2 of the roughly 200-250 "unranked-recruit" guys who are on D1 rosters at that weight from the last 5 graduating classes will be an all-american in a given year. I'm just saying...the odds are much smaller if you didn't make that list.

This is why I leave the math and stats to you guys that are good at it, I can't even subtract 100- 82.5 and come up with the right answer.  There are people who get mad if you don't put stats with your statements, that is what I get for trying.  So the mean of non-ranked athletes that makes all-american status in D1 is n=17.5.  Now what is the standard deviation.  Just the fact I know that the terms mean and standard deviation can go together hurts my head!!!!!! Good stats.......gives us people who cheer for the underdog a fighting chance.

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