Here's a list of each sectional and its contenders, based on the "Genius" POTENTIAL Rating (see Indianamat.com home page). Â Remember that this rating is designed to predict results. Â Individual tournament point differentials are predicted by finding the difference in rating of two teams and multiplying by 3. Â Individual tournament results are obviously widely variable for a number of reasons, so these point spreads are not nearly as effective as the "straight-up" point spread differentials you can pull from POTENTIAL for dual matches. Â This is why these tournament results (like other individual tournaments) will only be weighted half as much as duals. Â Here's a breakdown of the outlook for each sectional:
1. East Chicago Central (10), 9 am CT
Favorite: Munster (GeniusPO #33)
Other contenders: Lake Central (-25.5 points)
My pick: Munster
2. Calumet (8 ), 9 am CT
Favorite: Merrillville (GeniusPO #5)
Next: Calumet (-108.5 points)
My pick: Merrillville
3. Crown Point (8 ), 9 am CT
Favorite: Crown Point (GeniusPO #8)
Next: Kankakee Valley (-85.5 points)
My pick: Crown Point
4. LaPorte (8 ), 9 am CT
Favorite: Portage (GeniusPO #11)
Next: Chesterton (-73.5 points)
My pick: Portage
5. Mishawaka (9), 9 am
Favorite: Mishawaka (GeniusPO #1)
Other contenders: Penn (-52.5 points)
My pick: Mishawaka
6. Plymouth (9), 9 am
Favorite: Warsaw (GeniusPO #95)
Other contenders: Wawasee (-19 points), Plymouth (-27), Culver Academies (-39), Rochester (-43)
My pick: Warsaw
7. Twin Lakes (11), 9 am
Favorite: Logansport (GeniusPO #109)
Other contenders: Pioneer (-20 points), Winamac (-25.5), Rensselaer Central (-26), West Central (-39.5)
My pick: Logansport
8. Lafayette Jefferson (10), 9 am
Favorite: McCutcheon (GeniusPO #23)
Other contenders: Lafayette Jeff (-10.5 points), W.L. Harrison (-28), Delphi (-41)
My pick: McCutcheon
9. Elkhart Memorial (8 ), 9 am
Favorite: Jimtown (GeniusPO #18)
Other contenders: Goshen (-2 points), Elkhart Memorial (-16.5), Fairfield (-53)
My pick: Elkhart Memorial
10. Westview (10), 9 am
Favorite: Prairie Heights (GeniusPO #54)
Other contenders: DeKalb (-4 points), East Noble (-31)
My pick: Prairie Heights
11. Carroll (Fort Wayne) (11), 8 am
Favorite: FW Dwenger (GeniusPO #25)
Other contenders: Carroll (-8 points), Garrett (-10), Whitko (-11), Leo (-46.5)
My pick: Whitko
12. New Haven (10), 8:30 am
Favorite: Homestead (GeniusPO #40)
Other contenders: New Haven (-47 points), Heritage (-49.5)
My pick: Homestead
13. Peru (9), 9 am
Favorite: Huntington North (GeniusPO #30)
Other contenders: Southwood (-42.5 points), Peru (-48.5)
My pick: Huntington North
14. Oak Hill (10), 9 am
Favorite: Marion (GeniusPO #85)
Other contenders: Eastern (Greentown) (-26.5 points), Kokomo (-31.5), Western (-34.5)
My pick: Marion
15. Jay County (9), 8:30 am
Favorite: Bellmont (GeniusPO #15)
Other contenders: South Adams (-44.5 points), Adams Central (-61.5)
My pick: Bellmont
16. Delta (10), 9 am
Favorite: Yorktown (GeniusPO #2)
Next: Muncie Southside (-298.5) Â (Note: GeniusPO predictive ability not accurate with such large separation)
My pick: Yorktown
17. Crawfordsville (9), 9 am
Favorite: Fountain Central (GeniusPO #56)
Other contenders: South Vermillion (-31 points), North Vermillion (-33.5), Crawfordsville (-41)
My pick: Fountain Central
18. Zionsville (12), 8:30 am
Favorite: Carmel (GeniusPO #22)
Other contenders: Westfield (-9.5 points), Hamilton Southeastern (-10), Zionsville (-36.5)
My pick: Carmel
19. Hamilton Heights (12), 9 am
Favorite: Noblesville (GeniusPO #48)
Other contenders: Pendleton Heights (-13 points), Alexandria (-34), Tri-Central (-36)
My pick: Pendleton Heights
20. Lawrence Central (11), 8:30 am
Favorite: Cathedral (GeniusPO #13)
Other contenders: Lawrence North (-28.5 points), North Central (-46)
My pick: Cathedral
21. Decatur Central (11), 9 am
Favorite: Perry Meridian (GeniusPO #3)
Next: Pike (-87 points)
My pick: Perry Meridian
22. Shelbyville (10), 9 am
Favorite: Roncalli (GeniusPO #14)
Other contenders: New Palestine (-14 points), Warren Central (-45.5)
My pick: New Palestine
23. Tri (11), 9 am
Favorite: New Castle (GeniusPO #41)
Other contenders: Rushville (-47 points)
My pick: New Castle
24. Franklin County (9), 9 am
Favorite: South Dearborn (GeniusPO #59)
Other contenders: East Central (-34.5 points), Connersville (-43), Union County (-48)
My pick: South Dearborn
25. Avon (10), 8:30 am
Favorite: Brownsburg (GeniusPO #46)
Other contenders: Danville (-2 points), Avon (-6), Cascade (-33.5)
My pick: Avon
26. Mooresville (8 ), 9 am
Favorite: Franklin (GeniusPO #12)
Other contenders: Center Grove (-31 points), Mooresville (-54)
My pick: Franklin
27. Northview (9), 9:30 am
Favorite: Bloomington South (Genius PO #9)
Next: Northview (-122 points)
My pick: Bloomington South
28. Jennings County (9), 9 am
Favorite: Jennings County (Genius PO #63)
Other contenders: Columbus North (-10 points), Columbus East (-14)
My pick: Jennings County
29. Jeffersonville (10), 9 am
Favorite: Jeffersonville (Genius PO #16)
Next: Floyd Central (-98.5 points)
My pick: Jeffersonville
30. Southridge (10), 9 am
Favorite: Jasper (Genius PO #71)
Next: Knox (-98 points)
My pick: Jasper
31. Castle (9), 9 am CT
Favorite: Castle (GeniusPO #7)
Next: Heritage Hills (-59 points)
My pick: Castle
32. Evansville Central (9), 9 am CT
Favorite: Evansville Reitz (Genius PO #4)
Other contenders: Evansville Mater Dei (-18.5 points)
My pick: Evansville Reitz
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