POTENTIAL is specifically designed to be the best possible predictor of future results. It was designed 5 years ago by Maligned and is virtually identical to rating systems currently being incorporated Jeff Sagarin at USA Today, Joe Lunardi at ESPN, baseball analyst Bill James, top Las Vegas odds-makers, and others. This system locks in a team’s true potential by measuring its score differential within the context of its schedule, considering a team’s context to the 100th degree of separation from other teams, if necessary. The difference in rating between your team and another is the expected point differential in a dual meet. Multiply the difference in rating by three to arrive at the expected differential in a full-team individual tournament event. The predictive effect is most useful for teams within about 40 points of each other. (The top teams and bottom teams are separated by impossibly large margins because a top team can beat a good team by 40, which can beat a mid-level team by 40, which can beat a bottom team by 40).
Rank | Team Name | Rating | SOS | SOS Rank |
1 | Perry Meridian | 113.61 | 49.87 | 34 |
2 | Evansville Mater Dei | 99.32 | 43.69 | 85 |
3 | Crown Point | 97.96 | 49.68 | 36 |
4 | Merrillville | 94.78 | 60.78 | 10 |
5 | Mishawaka | 93.53 | 62.94 | 5 |
6 | Penn | 91.60 | 46.61 | 55 |
7 | Roncalli | 90.48 | 50.93 | 31 |
8 | Elkhart Memorial | 89.54 | 47.19 | 50 |
9 | Franklin Community | 88.85 | 65.60 | 3 |
10 | Hamilton Southeastern | 85.88 | 46.53 | 57 |
11 | Indianapolis Cathedral | 84.95 | 31.68 | 201 |
12 | Bloomington South | 83.81 | 43.56 | 86 |
13 | Evansville Reitz | 81.64 | 35.93 | 157 |
14 | Greenfield Central | 81.33 | 39.51 | 123 |
15 | Bellmont | 79.76 | 45.64 | 61 |
16 | New Palestine | 78.92 | 25.72 | 242 |
17 | South Bend Clay | 78.80 | 42.97 | 90 |
18 | East Noble | 77.49 | 43.42 | 88 |
19 | Center Grove | 76.99 | 51.10 | 30 |
20 | Evansville Memorial | 76.46 | 36.13 | 156 |
21 | East Central | 76.27 | 40.00 | 118 |
22 | Adams Central | 75.95 | 30.53 | 208 |
23 | Portage | 75.51 | 56.74 | 16 |
24 | Jimtown | 74.17 | 36.57 | 150 |
25 | South Adams | 72.35 | 37.66 | 141 |
26 | Martinsville | 72.08 | 46.63 | 54 |
27 | Goshen | 71.98 | 33.65 | 177 |
28 | Fishers | 71.65 | 40.87 | 108 |
29 | Lowell | 71.61 | 51.77 | 28 |
30 | Pendleton Heights | 70.01 | 41.22 | 106 |
31 | Yorktown | 69.35 | 55.87 | 19 |
32 | Lake Central | 69.00 | 44.37 | 75 |
33 | Westfield | 68.80 | 50.19 | 33 |
34 | Warren Central | 67.40 | 44.15 | 77 |
35 | Southmont | 67.33 | 33.38 | 179 |
36 | South Bend Riley | 65.97 | 43.70 | 84 |
37 | DeKalb | 65.41 | 46.81 | 53 |
38 | Zionsville | 63.72 | 54.02 | 22 |
39 | Jennings County | 63.37 | 29.82 | 214 |
40 | Carroll (Fort Wayne) | 62.15 | 41.30 | 103 |
41 | Fort Wayne Snider | 61.63 | 38.63 | 128 |
42 | Kokomo | 60.48 | 29.29 | 217 |
43 | Jeffersonville | 60.24 | 40.60 | 113 |
44 | Floyd Central | 60.05 | 32.55 | 192 |
45 | Noblesville | 59.37 | 49.40 | 38 |
46 | Ben Davis | 58.43 | 42.97 | 91 |
47 | North Montgomery | 57.11 | 27.31 | 234 |
48 | Mooresville | 56.96 | 61.08 | 8 |
49 | Bishop Dwenger | 56.94 | 37.44 | 143 |
50 | Terre Haute South | 56.93 | 35.76 | 161 |
51 | Delphi | 56.71 | 47.29 | 48 |
52 | Heritage Hills | 55.66 | 27.82 | 227 |
53 | Harrison (WL) | 55.27 | 58.18 | 13 |
54 | Connersville | 54.99 | 16.00 | 279 |
55 | Jay County | 54.20 | 33.00 | 186 |
56 | Danville | 53.75 | 39.76 | 121 |
57 | Peru | 53.04 | 45.94 | 59 |
58 | Chesterton | 53.02 | 66.61 | 2 |
59 | Avon | 52.86 | 55.94 | 18 |
60 | Fountain Central | 52.76 | 20.90 | 261 |
61 | Brownsburg | 52.53 | 47.01 | 51 |
62 | Valparaiso | 51.72 | 43.78 | 82 |
63 | Homestead | 51.33 | 46.83 | 52 |
64 | Carmel | 50.88 | 55.12 | 21 |
65 | Northridge | 50.86 | 57.70 | 15 |
66 | Culver Academies | 50.57 | 32.30 | 193 |
67 | Logansport | 49.63 | 44.30 | 76 |
68 | Twin Lakes | 49.47 | 29.85 | 213 |
69 | Churubusco | 49.08 | 30.87 | 205 |
70 | Leo | 48.81 | 52.81 | 25 |
71 | Castle | 48.67 | 51.56 | 29 |
72 | Angola | 48.13 | 27.58 | 231 |
73 | Jasper | 47.91 | 37.84 | 137 |
74 | West Central | 47.76 | 16.19 | 278 |
75 | Lawrence Central | 47.35 | 47.95 | 44 |
76 | Lewis Cass | 47.02 | 27.72 | 229 |
77 | Lawrence North | 46.71 | 57.85 | 14 |
78 | Southridge | 45.76 | 29.28 | 218 |
79 | Hanover Central | 45.66 | 22.27 | 256 |
80 | McCutcheon | 45.57 | 44.99 | 68 |
81 | Griffith | 44.98 | 44.14 | 78 |
82 | Evansville North | 44.94 | 29.10 | 220 |
83 | Frankfort | 44.93 | 45.52 | 64 |
84 | Huntington North | 43.44 | 52.31 | 26 |
85 | North Central | 43.41 | 41.55 | 102 |
86 | Franklin Central | 43.30 | 45.13 | 67 |
87 | Glenn | 43.21 | 37.71 | 139 |
88 | Pike | 42.61 | 48.59 | 41 |
89 | Muncie Southside | 42.42 | 35.42 | 165 |
90 | Wawasee | 41.77 | 39.02 | 124 |
91 | Kankakee Valley | 41.71 | 44.54 | 73 |
92 | Frankton | 41.68 | 9.98 | 294 |
93 | Franklin County | 41.60 | 37.30 | 145 |
94 | Hobart | 41.49 | 37.00 | 148 |
95 | Elkhart Central | 41.30 | 44.03 | 79 |
96 | Benton Central | 40.94 | 22.61 | 253 |
97 | Triton Central | 40.76 | 19.63 | 270 |
98 | Norwell | 40.39 | 56.59 | 17 |
99 | Washington | 40.06 | 20.27 | 266 |
100 | Rensselaer Central | 40.02 | 29.72 | 216 |
101 | Greencastle | 39.66 | 61.99 | 7 |
102 | Maconaquah | 39.48 | 35.61 | 163 |
103 | Boonville | 39.31 | 16.26 | 276 |
104 | New Haven | 37.98 | 64.18 | 4 |
105 | Fort Wayne Northrop | 37.70 | 38.60 | 130 |
106 | South Bend Adams | 37.58 | 33.93 | 175 |
107 | Lebanon | 37.34 | 53.94 | 23 |
108 | Fairfield | 37.10 | 23.67 | 250 |
109 | Plymouth | 36.97 | 32.91 | 189 |
110 | Tri Central | 36.93 | 14.76 | 281 |
111 | Winamac | 36.77 | 42.84 | 94 |
112 | Shenandoah | 36.59 | 38.42 | 132 |
113 | Western Boone | 36.51 | 45.48 | 65 |
114 | Tippecanoe Valley | 36.21 | 13.59 | 286 |
115 | Garrett | 35.89 | 44.89 | 70 |
116 | Union City | 35.38 | 38.38 | 133 |
117 | Columbus East | 35.26 | 38.91 | 127 |
118 | Mount Vernon (Posey) | 34.88 | 26.58 | 239 |
119 | Northfield | 34.74 | 37.40 | 144 |
120 | Union County | 34.22 | 22.08 | 257 |
121 | North Miami | 34.03 | 18.74 | 272 |
122 | LaPorte | 33.99 | 53.19 | 24 |
123 | Fort Wayne South Side | 33.95 | 24.66 | 247 |
124 | Evansville Central | 33.27 | 25.49 | 243 |
125 | Whitko | 32.75 | 34.75 | 170 |
126 | Lafayette Jefferson | 32.68 | 45.43 | 66 |
127 | Southport | 32.51 | 41.55 | 101 |
128 | Beech Grove | 32.31 | 42.85 | 93 |
129 | South Vermillion | 31.99 | 19.63 | 271 |
130 | New Prairie | 31.94 | 58.44 | 12 |
131 | South Bend Washington | 31.50 | 40.31 | 116 |
132 | Madison | 31.28 | 32.28 | 194 |
133 | Woodlan | 30.90 | 42.55 | 95 |
134 | Oak Hill | 30.68 | 36.55 | 153 |
135 | Prairie Heights | 30.54 | 40.67 | 111 |
136 | Columbus North | 30.39 | 46.23 | 58 |
137 | Western | 30.38 | 33.23 | 182 |
138 | North White | 30.34 | 40.77 | 110 |
139 | Northview | 30.25 | 35.85 | 158 |
140 | Alexandria | 30.06 | 44.55 | 72 |
141 | Culver Community | 30.02 | 41.22 | 105 |
142 | West Noble | 29.75 | 28.87 | 221 |
143 | Lapel | 29.58 | 12.01 | 291 |
144 | Columbia City | 28.90 | 50.70 | 32 |
145 | North Newton | 28.69 | 27.98 | 225 |
146 | Princeton | 28.66 | 40.55 | 114 |
147 | South Dearborn | 28.63 | 36.56 | 151 |
148 | New Castle | 28.50 | 55.28 | 20 |
149 | Brown County | 28.07 | 31.36 | 203 |
150 | Clinton Central | 28.06 | 16.22 | 277 |
151 | Marion | 27.93 | 45.70 | 60 |
152 | Fremont | 27.92 | 13.64 | 285 |
153 | Shelbyville | 27.91 | 33.75 | 176 |
154 | Warsaw | 27.89 | 37.76 | 138 |
155 | Heritage | 27.86 | 41.78 | 100 |
156 | Indianapolis Bishop Chatard | 27.65 | 9.58 | 296 |
157 | Crawfordsville | 27.33 | 34.22 | 172 |
158 | Hagarstown | 27.30 | 3.63 | 306 |
159 | South Putnam | 26.93 | 6.93 | 303 |
160 | North Posey | 26.84 | 20.64 | 262 |
161 | Indian Creek | 26.53 | 35.68 | 162 |
162 | Indianapolis Arsenal Tech | 26.34 | 21.33 | 260 |
163 | Calumet | 26.22 | 30.25 | 212 |
164 | Cascade | 26.21 | 34.01 | 174 |
165 | Sullivan | 25.99 | 31.99 | 196 |
166 | Munster | 25.59 | 59.84 | 11 |
167 | Fort Wayne Wayne | 25.54 | 33.41 | 178 |
168 | NorthWood | 25.34 | 33.22 | 183 |
169 | Speedway | 24.97 | 45.61 | 62 |
170 | Decatur Central | 24.80 | 37.65 | 142 |
171 | Vincennes Lincoln | 24.77 | 27.92 | 226 |
172 | Hammond Gavit | 23.55 | 41.97 | 98 |
173 | Seymour | 23.25 | 22.00 | 258 |
174 | Rushville | 22.81 | 41.81 | 99 |
175 | Winchester | 22.58 | 25.32 | 244 |
176 | Charlestown | 22.20 | 34.93 | 167 |
177 | Anderson | 21.61 | 15.18 | 280 |
178 | Fort Wayne Concordia | 21.56 | 32.56 | 191 |
179 | Tell City | 21.53 | 40.84 | 109 |
180 | Plainfield | 20.51 | 28.26 | 224 |
181 | Gibson Southern | 19.97 | 34.99 | 166 |
182 | Terre Haute North | 19.89 | 31.89 | 198 |
183 | Edgewood | 19.49 | 20.50 | 264 |
184 | Bremen | 19.32 | 33.32 | 181 |
185 | Knightstown | 19.04 | 23.04 | 251 |
186 | Concord | 18.73 | 66.64 | 1 |
187 | Monroe Central | 18.31 | 3.91 | 305 |
188 | Tipton | 18.31 | 36.56 | 152 |
189 | Fairhaven | 18.22 | 49.72 | 35 |
190 | Greenwood | 18.01 | 44.94 | 69 |
191 | Eastern (Greentown) | 17.43 | 44.43 | 74 |
192 | Paoli | 17.26 | 14.32 | 284 |
193 | Hammond Morton | 17.20 | 31.51 | 202 |
194 | Indianapolis Scecina | 17.19 | 8.26 | 300 |
195 | New Albany | 16.71 | 37.08 | 147 |
196 | Laville | 16.26 | 42.86 | 92 |
197 | Cloverdale | 16.20 | 20.00 | 268 |
198 | Hamilton Heights | 15.98 | 38.62 | 129 |
199 | Lake Station Edison | 15.92 | 32.98 | 187 |
200 | South Spencer | 15.54 | 36.74 | 149 |
201 | Elwood | 14.99 | 40.13 | 117 |
202 | Michigan City | 14.85 | 47.95 | 43 |
203 | Seeger | 14.69 | 30.69 | 207 |
204 | Tri West | 14.47 | 34.69 | 171 |
205 | Rochester | 14.43 | 36.43 | 154 |
206 | Centerville | 14.43 | 1.31 | 309 |
207 | River Forest | 14.35 | 41.18 | 107 |
208 | Southern Wells | 14.23 | 31.96 | 197 |
209 | Mississinewa | 13.66 | 49.16 | 39 |
210 | Carroll (Flora) | 13.54 | 42.35 | 97 |
211 | Manchester | 13.33 | 32.93 | 188 |
212 | South Newton | 12.71 | 37.71 | 140 |
213 | Richmond | 12.43 | 33.05 | 185 |
214 | Mount Vernon (Fortville) | 12.42 | 43.42 | 87 |
215 | Westview | 12.16 | 38.15 | 134 |
216 | New Washington | 12.02 | 27.13 | 237 |
217 | Delta | 11.79 | 47.88 | 45 |
218 | Muncie Central | 11.50 | 35.79 | 160 |
219 | Evansville Harrison | 11.04 | 29.23 | 219 |
220 | Wapahani | 10.88 | 11.88 | 292 |
221 | Batesville | 10.85 | 38.00 | 136 |
222 | Scottsburg | 10.68 | 3.08 | 307 |
223 | Bishop Luers | 10.31 | 27.75 | 228 |
224 | Knox | 10.00 | 33.33 | 180 |
225 | Eastbrook | 9.89 | 62.39 | 6 |
226 | Wes-Del | 9.87 | 13.02 | 289 |
227 | Lakeland | 9.60 | 27.42 | 232 |
228 | Pike Central | 8.62 | 24.74 | 246 |
229 | Fort Wayne North Side | 7.82 | 42.42 | 96 |
230 | Hebron | 7.70 | 38.05 | 135 |
231 | Bloomington North | 7.39 | 40.52 | 115 |
232 | Greensburg | 7.04 | 47.33 | 47 |
233 | Caston | 6.37 | 46.57 | 56 |
234 | Faith Christian | 6.11 | 9.11 | 297 |
235 | Sheridan | 6.05 | 43.33 | 89 |
236 | Hammond Clark | 5.94 | 32.72 | 190 |
237 | Pioneer | 5.91 | 43.91 | 81 |
238 | Milan | 5.80 | 47.80 | 46 |
239 | Monrovia | 5.54 | 52.04 | 27 |
240 | Indianapolis Northwest | 5.40 | 24.10 | 249 |
241 | Lawrenceburg | 5.22 | 34.22 | 173 |
242 | Southwestern (Hanover) | 4.40 | 30.32 | 211 |
243 | Whiteland | 4.39 | 31.10 | 204 |
244 | Forest Park | 4.31 | 40.61 | 112 |
245 | Highland | 4.25 | 48.56 | 42 |
246 | West Vigo | 3.28 | 14.53 | 283 |
247 | Eastside | 3.13 | 34.79 | 168 |
248 | Indianapolis Cardinal Ritter | 2.75 | 13.02 | 288 |
249 | Gary Wallace | 2.45 | 36.18 | 155 |
250 | Hammond | 2.44 | 27.60 | 230 |
251 | Indianapolis Howe Academy | 2.23 | 20.25 | 267 |
252 | Mitchell | 1.71 | 18.71 | 273 |
253 | Blackford | 1.60 | 45.60 | 63 |
254 | Covington | 1.24 | 20.53 | 263 |
255 | Taylor | 0.63 | 35.43 | 164 |
256 | Brebeuf Jesuit | 0.56 | 44.76 | 71 |
257 | West Lafayette | 0.50 | 48.90 | 40 |
258 | Mishawaka Marian | 0.37 | 60.82 | 9 |
259 | Andrean | 0.36 | 39.65 | 122 |
260 | Central Noble | -0.31 | 24.49 | 248 |
261 | Park Tudor | -0.39 | 39.88 | 120 |
262 | Northwestern | -0.44 | 49.56 | 37 |
263 | Christian Academy | -0.63 | 26.60 | 238 |
264 | Southwood | -0.70 | 41.30 | 104 |
265 | Eastern (Pekin) | -0.93 | 1.57 | 308 |
266 | North Vermillion | -0.98 | 20.35 | 265 |
267 | South Bend St. Joseph | -1.03 | 19.77 | 269 |
268 | Whiting | -1.54 | 38.96 | 125 |
269 | Providence | -1.88 | 22.98 | 252 |
270 | North Judson | -2.12 | 31.88 | 199 |
271 | Madison Grant | -2.46 | 38.47 | 131 |
272 | Rockville | -2.94 | 12.69 | 290 |
273 | East Chicago Central | -3.44 | 31.70 | 200 |
274 | Tecumseh | -3.52 | 14.53 | 282 |
275 | Indianapolis Washington | -4.34 | 13.30 | 287 |
276 | Triton | -4.58 | 43.71 | 83 |
277 | Indianapolis Manual | -5.81 | 26.02 | 241 |
278 | Indianapolis Broad Ripple | -6.84 | 7.75 | 301 |
279 | North Knox | -7.01 | 39.99 | 119 |
280 | Bedford North Lawrence | -8.84 | 29.76 | 215 |
281 | Cambridge City Lincoln | -8.86 | 43.94 | 80 |
282 | Wabash | -10.22 | 30.78 | 206 |
283 | Bluffton | -11.25 | 27.15 | 236 |
284 | Eastern Hancock | -11.41 | 34.79 | 169 |
285 | Tri | -13.02 | 28.32 | 223 |
286 | Crawford County | -14.12 | 7.10 | 302 |
287 | Boone Grove | -14.17 | 28.72 | 222 |
288 | Owen Valley | -14.96 | 27.37 | 233 |
289 | Daleville | -15.19 | 9.10 | 298 |
290 | Switzerland County | -15.39 | 4.04 | 304 |
291 | Corydon Central | -15.41 | 25.19 | 245 |
292 | North Putnam | -15.52 | 22.51 | 254 |
293 | Frontier | -15.58 | 47.27 | 49 |
294 | Lafayette Central Catholic | -18.06 | 38.94 | 126 |
295 | Indianapolis Crispus Attucks | -18.37 | 18.10 | 274 |
296 | Guerin Catholic | -18.71 | 17.58 | 275 |
297 | Rossville | -18.89 | 33.11 | 184 |
298 | Anderson Prep | -19.14 | 32.09 | 195 |
299 | Hammond Bishop Noll | -20.92 | 37.21 | 146 |
300 | Blue River Valley | -21.10 | 8.90 | 299 |
301 | Evansville Bosse | -22.07 | 27.28 | 235 |
302 | Randolph Southern | -22.83 | 35.84 | 159 |
303 | Northeastern | -23.02 | 30.48 | 209 |
304 | Clinton Prairie | -23.21 | 30.46 | 210 |
305 | Turkey Run | -23.86 | 21.92 | 259 |
306 | Wood Memorial | -24.01 | 26.33 | 240 |
307 | Attica | -24.33 | -10.83 | 311 |
308 | Indianapolis Arlington | -25.87 | 22.36 | 255 |
309 | Indiana School for Deaf | -28.59 | 9.58 | 295 |
310 | Salem | -29.50 | 1.25 | 310 |
311 | Oldenburg Academy | NA | NA | NA |
312 | Indianapolis Marshall | NA | NA | NA |
313 | Gary Westside | NA | NA | NA |
314 | Gary Roosevelt | NA | NA | NA |
315 | Howe School | NA | NA | NA |
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