Nice..beat me to it.
These Genius POTENTIAL ratings for 2020. All results in the IndianaMat database are included in these ratings. A few reminders if you haven't seen these ratings before:
1. POTENTIAL is a strictly score-based rating, collected and calculated within the context of your schedule. It doesn't take into account wins and losses, but overall performance across every single contest you had. This type of score-based rating is more predictive of future performance than wins/losses based ratings. Just as you might be expected to beat a certain team by 20 points because you averaged 20 more points per dual against two common opponents, we can input all scores in the state together and interconnect all results to spit out how you'd be expected to do against anyone using the same principle.
2. The algorithm used for these ratings is one of the main types used to set Vegas lines for games and matches. The rating difference between your team and another team is roughly the expected point differential between your teams in a dual meet.
3. Tournament results are also included because they are remarkably predictive of dual meet results. We do, however, weight those results much less than dual meets. In general, the difference between you and another team in a tournament is about 3 times as much as the difference expected between your two teams in a dual.
4. Because we consider ALL results, not just isolated duals, it is very common and normal to have Team A be rated lower than Team B even though Team A won the head-to-head. Even in the NFL, for example, a two-touchdown favorite loses 15-20% of the time. This doesn't mean that favorite won't still be expected to be the better team in the future based on all their performances put together.
5. If someone seems overrated or underrated, it can sometimes be a case of schedule difficulty--especially at the top and bottom of the ratings--where a team faced virtually all teams of very high quality or much less quality than their own that didn't allow their position against the entire state to be fully evaluated. However, this "overrated" or "underrated" phenomenon is not nearly as extreme as you think. Someone that feels "overrated" to you in ratings like these is almost always better than you think but didn't get the chance to prove it against a team you recognize.
6. Strength of Schedule rating is essentially an average of the quality of every team you wrestled--including JV and out-of-state opponents. Don't be insulted if you feel your SoS rating is too low when you faced 10 ranked teams. It just means you also faced a healthy amount of weak teams that pulled your SoS down. Everyone knows you still ran the gauntlet.