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BlueKnight

Gorillas
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Posts posted by BlueKnight

  1. It is a small sample size if you only look at wins/losses, you're correct.  But we can start to identify some level of confidence in the "truth" of the results by aggregating the individual scores of the 25 matches (excluding the one match involving the 4-seed that advanced by default and did not fit the profile of a typical #4 advancer). 

     

    All told, the 12 victories of the #4's included 5 pins, a major, and 6 decisions.  The losses involved 2 pins and 2 majors.  If we aggregate these, assigning a value of +10 match points to pins and actual score differentials to the rest, the #4's outscored their 25 opponents by 14 points...an average of a little more than half a point per match for the entire 25.  

     

    In fact, though, it's a little more future-predictive in the context of individual ratings for wrestlers of this level to cap match point differentials at 7 (+7 for pins/majors/techs).  This still gives us an average difference of +0.3 points for the 25 matches--in favor of the #4's.  If we get these aggregated score results for 25 matches, we can start to feel some level of comfort in the assumption that future matches of this type (quarterfinals involving #4 seeds) will go the way of the #4 about half the time.   To put it another way, the line for these matches would be set at "pick 'em" or -0.5 in favor of the #4s that just beat a #1.

     

    I love the analysis.  And Newbie, not a bad question either for a westsider.

  2. Wrong. Lee was awarded a rev/td plus three backs, making it 7-4. He switched off to a half for the fall.

    Actually, was it a hook and a half?  lol

     

    The Cash/Lee call was a fall.  Live with it.  Yes, it was a touch pin.  But Lee should never put himself in the position to allow the call.

     

    Cash hung in there and capitalized on Lees poor position.  All credit to him.  He is deservedly among the top in the nation.

     

    We are still in the first chapter of the Joe Lee's wrestling story.  And the way he handled Cash/James, it should be a hell of a story.  He is a college wrestler right now.

     

    And let's not forget James.  My heart goes out to this young man.  Flonational champ.  Indiana wrestling tournament is unforgiving  He has been an inspiration to all Indiana wrestlers.  I predict his best days are ahead.

     

    So, in my book, they are all champs.

  3. 106 Rook, Hunt, Miller, Mills

    113 Konrath, Dilbeck, Luigs, Skaggs

    120 Fergison, Egli, Hudkins, Gomez

    126 Molloy, Clopton, Johnson, Young

    132 N. Lee, B. Lee/Bethel, Schermer, Dowell

    138 (castle) Lee, Todrank, Ramsey, Dixon

    145 Schnell, Barlow, Jourdan, Herrin

    152 Kemper, Mundy, Dunn, Miller

    160 Koontz, McDaniel, Helm, Caudle

    170 Lydy, Stevenson, Jeffress, Fredrick

    182 Schaffer, Bassemier, Hayes, Dalton

    195 Scott, Anslinger, Lamar, Songer

    220 Larson, Kyles, Choate, Wilder

    Hwt Oglesby, York, Biddle, Butler

     

    132 I couldn't decide if Bethel would upset B. Lee or not so I won't even guess but the winner of that match gets 2nd.

    These look very accurate.  And yes, Bethel is capable of making it to the finals.

  4. Just saw some film on line of the match.  GS wrestler looked like he was boxing.  Not wrestling.  While it was "open handed", it was clearly overboard with palm facing down.  The CourierPress called it correctly: "Jabs".  Surprised the MD wrestler kept his composure.  VERY surprised the MD coaches kept theirs.   

     

    Prediction: Ramsey makes it to the finals. 

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