maligned Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Here are the current Genius POTENTIAL computer ratings for each of the 8 state finalists: Perry Meridian 106.66 Evansville Mater Dei 105.89 Crown Point 105.87 Penn 90.06 Roncalli 88.69 Bellmont 85.02 Lawrence North 83.08 Delphi 63.37 Based on the point differentials gleaned from these ratings, here are the probabilities of every possible dual match-up (CORRECTED from original post at 3am--there's a stupid mistake that I keep making when posting probabilities. They're correct now.): Perry over MD--51.6% Perry over CP-- 51.6% Perry over Penn--80.4% Perry over Roncalli--82.2% Perry over Bellmont--86.5% Perry over LN--88.5% Perry over Delphi--98.5% MD over CP--50.0% MD over Penn--79.3% MD over Roncalli--81.2% MD over Bellmont--85.7% MD over LN--87.7% MD over Delphi--98.3% CP over Penn--79.2% CP over Roncalli--81.2% CP over Bellmont--85.7% CP over LN--87.7% CP over Delphi--98.3% Penn over Roncalli--52.9% Penn over Bellmont--60.4% Penn over LN--64.2% Penn over Delphi--91.2% Roncalli over Bellmont--57.6% Roncalli over LN--61.5% Roncalli over Delphi--90.1% Bellmont over LN--54.0% Bellmont over Delphi--86.5% LN over Delphi--84.4% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
navy80 Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Wel this is great information but the matchup everyone is wanting to see is split 50-50 lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maligned Posted February 23, 2011 Author Share Posted February 23, 2011 Wel this is great information but the matchup everyone is wanting to see is split 50-50 lol Yeah, it's amazing how even the Big 3 are. The data suggests it's a virtual tossup between them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hummels Posted February 23, 2011 Share Posted February 23, 2011 Now, if we could just bet on High School Wrestling in Vegas, the Genius computer ratings would surely make us all rich!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
maligned Posted February 24, 2011 Author Share Posted February 24, 2011 Now, if we could just bet on High School Wrestling in Vegas, the Genius computer ratings would surely make us all rich!! What do you think Vegas lines are based on? It ain't based on a couple of Mater Dei fans' row 3 opinions. They all use insider ratings very similar to Genius POTENTIAL as starting points, then adjust slightly to work public opinion angles for their benefit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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