There is definitely a negative correlation between a kid with a tougher schedule and the number of forfeits he receives. It’s certainly not an r value of -1, probably more like a -0.6.
That certainly doesn’t mean the kid who wrestles the toughest schedule in the state doesn’t see a lot of forfeits. I would bet a great deal that Mason Parris gets a ton of forfeits, where as probably any other Lawrenceburg kid with the same schedule has less forfeits. It also doesn’t mean that a kid with a very weak schedule catches a ton of forfeits either. But I think on average, a kid with a tougher schedule receives less forfeits than a kid who wrestles a stronger schedule.
No one can look at those numbers above and say who wrestles a tougher schedule. Give me the team names and I probably could. I could tell you the teams in our sectional and how their schedule stacks up with the other teams because I am familiar with them. The debate is, when the only remaining determination of a seed is winning percentage, is it better to only look at the actual matches wrestled, or include the forfeits he has taken. I say, only the matches wrestled.