Fun topic:
Just purely based off of current state rankings to keep my own biases out of it as a coach, New Castle would be this way:
106- Smith-Southport
113- Dickey- Cathedral
120- Leavell- Warren Central
126- Wolf- East Central
132- Seltzer- Cathedral
138- Lowery- Roncalli
145- Koontz- PM
152- Rinehart- Zionsville
160- Jones- Warren Central
170- Cast- HSE
182- Hansen- Roncalli
195- Woodall- Southmont
220- Long- Noblesville
285- Burgett- HSE
Supposedly a down year in the semi-state, but a lot of studs right there. Still not sure we could beat Evansville or East Chicago this season.
Team race at New Castle will be interesting too. Just based off of this, Cathedral, Warren Central, Roncalli, and HSE all have 2 top ranked guys. I'm Sure Carmel, Westfield, Zionsville and East Central will all be right in the mix too. Gonna depend a lot on those 3rd and 4th place finishers and how many you can get to the ticket round.
If I had to guess, Cathedral is likely the favorite right now, but it'll be a fun day in about a month! Probably going to come down to who can sneak their 182 and 220 pounders through as those appear to be the "weakest" weights by state rankings at this point, but at least a few top 195 pounders are switching to 182 if you look at recent results, so I suspect you'll have a few different kids on the New Castle podium than the rankings currently reflect.