I had a thought, which led me to crunch some more numbers (sorry guys).
Maybe the numbers I was crunching earlier were biased ... Maybe the majority of kids attends larger schools so we should expect them to win more.
So here's what I did ... And again, this is just data, so take it for what it's worth ...
1. I grabbed the school population data based on the current 6 class system used for football. I totaled up all the students in the state to determine how many students attend each class. For example, over 30% of the student population in Indiana attends a 6A school whereas only 6% attend a 1A school.
2. Then, I looked at the top 4 placers over the last 3 years, using the same classes as football.
3. In theory, you would expect the percentages to be about the same. In other words, if 30% of students attend 6A schools, then you would expect 30% of the top 4 placers to come from 6A schools.
4. The data suggets (for whatever reason) that a wrestler is more likely to place in the top 4 if he is at a 6A or 5A school. Surpisingly, 4A kids are actually worse off than 1A kids (just based on the data).
Maybe kids at smaller schools aren't as focused on 1 sport like kids at the bigger schools. Maybe kids at smaller schools just haven't been exposed to see how hard you have to work to place in the top 4. Maybe kids at smaller schools don't get access to the same resources as kids at bigger schools. But for whatever reason, it does appear to be disproportionate. That doesn't necessarily mean that classes/divisions are the right answer ... A lot can be said about the beauty of just having 1 class and seeing the champs wrestle under the lights.
But just something to consider.