As I look over your stats I will agree this match up might be a toss up. There are many factors that changed from match #1 and match #2 in 2008. Were the match starts is critical for momentum. This has nothing to do with talent just chance.
You stated this was a 5o-50 probability then that means two wins in a row was within the realm of possibility, maybe not probability. What my point was is that Perry had enough and I believe more studs that year. Or maybe better studs. Or maybe more experienced studs. Whatever. My original post was aimed at the comparison made in the news article. I felt it was invalid. 2008 was a squandered opportunity and 2010 well...... you said it "clearly no contest"
Your coaching staff needs to work on getting kids ready in the hole! Pre -Preparation of the next guy up. It could be a missing link?????