Decided to look at the "formula" pairings for the Perry Meridian #11 Regional. They are paired up with the No Montgomery #9 Regional in 6 classes (113, 120, 132, 170, 195, 285), the Pendleton Hts #10 Regional in 4 classes (106, 138, 160, 220) & the Richmond #12 Regional in 4 classes (126, 145, 152, 182).
That means that a top-notch program coming out of Perry (Warren Central-- Regional Champs) could square off in no more than 4 weight classes against the best team in the Pendleton Hts Regional (top ranked Cathedral-- Regional Champs). Guess what -- it is Warren vs Cathedral in the 1st round at all 4 possible classes.
(Mind blown!)
106 - WC 2nd Perry vs Cath 3rd Dickey
138 - WC 3rd Rowlett vs Cath 2nd Wilson
160 - WC 4th Taylor vs Cath 1st Slivka
220 WC 1st Mitchell vs Cath 4th Guhl
We need a math genius to tell us what are the odds of that happening.
(Plus, Bailey vs Beatty at 132 in likely in the Qtrfinals)
To me, there are no shenanigans with the IHSAA "formulas" because there are just too many moving parts. The Semistate draws are based on where you placed in the Regional plus there is some luck thrown in there too. For example, Warren's Taylor lost at the buzzer in the 160 semis last Saturday. He was just a few seconds away from clinching 2nd place at worst. Instead, he dropped down to 4th & now must wrestle Slivka right away.
It is just dumb/bad luck that Warren & Cathedral mirrored each other at all 4 of these weight classes.