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gsmith58

Gorillas
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  1. Like
    gsmith58 reacted to Trinedad in Top 5 Teams (8th Graders)   
    I was talking to someone from Center grove, they stated that they have a few in middle school that can beat the guys that they had at state. I do not know them, but I trust the guy that told me that.
  2. Like
    gsmith58 reacted to Ahawkeye in THE BEST SEATS AT STATE   
    Maybe give each school an allotted amount of tickets per section based on the number of wrestlers sent, maybe a lottery system on where they'll be each year then let the schools handle how many they need, then the die hard fans could have a couple of sections too?? Probably not a perfect idea but it's a start.
  3. Like
    gsmith58 reacted to GBaldwin in THE BEST SEATS AT STATE   
    Getting in and finding a seat is a whole problem within its own.  They have 3000 people herded in there like cattle preventing them from going to find a seat. Another 3 to 5000 people standing on the opposite side of security waiting for them to release the 1st group so they can get through security. You surely don't wanna be in that 1st group with a child Or elderly because the child will just get Trampled.  Friday when they released everybody to get through the 1st gate to only get stopped by ticket processing there was about a 5 year old boy who was ran over By 3 other people who wasn't even paying attention and not 1 of them stopped.  It was a sick and sad situation.
     
     The idea of general seating is completely wrong for an event of this magnitude. It is extremely hard or near impossible for a family to find consecutive seats to sit to watch their Son or teammates.  The idea of blocking off complete sections is wrong . The IHSAA/BLF needs to fix that issue. The IHSAA/BLF has tickets available on presale they should be able to sell those tickets as reserved seating and anything not sold could be general seating. This would stop the headache of finding a seat for a group of 5 people.  If they sold reserved seating I/ we wouldnt have to argue with people that those 2 seat were for my wife and son who left to go through the bathroom. This would also stop some of the pushing and running to find seating.
     
     
     We have one of the greatest events in the country and yet the Process to get in and find a seat is a complete joke.
  4. Like
    gsmith58 reacted to RegionHustle in THE BEST SEATS AT STATE   
    How about 7 fans saving an entire section of seats. Then when you tell them that there’s no seat saving and sit, 3 guys approach you, stand around and one promptly sits next to you at the end of the aisle so your fiancé and child can’t sit down. Some words were had with those yahoos. You never want it to turn to that, but trying to intimidate a small family who stood in line to get decent seats...trash move. 
  5. Haha
    gsmith58 got a reaction from piscis1956 in Things That Struck You as Interesting Tonight...   
    I think that was just for you. You're on their watch list 😉
  6. Haha
    gsmith58 got a reaction from Chapdaddy in Semi State Most Champs   
    I don't know, but being from Southport, I wouldn't mind if you took them. Heck take Perry too...😉
  7. Like
    gsmith58 got a reaction from Chapdaddy in Semi State Most Champs   
    Let's put a hold on that Semi-State trophy.
     
    New Castle: Cottey, Seltzer, Lowery, Viduya, Allread, Parsons (6)
    Evansville: Miller, Boarman, Kervin, Dickens, Deters (5)
    East Chicago: Mendez, Walker, Bates (3)
    Ft. Wayne: (0)
  8. Haha
    gsmith58 got a reaction from horseofadifferentcolor in Semi State Most Champs   
    I don't know, but being from Southport, I wouldn't mind if you took them. Heck take Perry too...😉
  9. Like
    gsmith58 reacted to Silence Dogood in Things That Struck You as Interesting Tonight...   
    Even when I knew who was going to catch him, I feared for his life. Honestly thought he would fall backwards, stumble on the awkward transition from mat to basketball court to concrete, and then hit his head. 
     
    Speaking of, why put the basketball court down? It makes for such a potentially dangerous transition when wrestlers go off the mat. Seems like they could just put the mats directly on the concrete and put in some extra mats around the edges for safety. 
  10. Like
    gsmith58 got a reaction from base in THE BEST SEATS AT STATE   
    It's very annoying, particularly when they start blocking aisles and putting up tape. I certainly don't mind folks saving a couple of seats for friends, but it's currently ridiculous. It shouldn't be that hard to find a solution. 
     
    And, I know from experience getting in the line first and waiting for hours on end is no guarantee. Get there first, wait in line patiently while others push in and around and past you, hustle to a section and then have someone quip "this section is already taken." Not that I listen...but it does raise my temperature a bit.
  11. Like
    gsmith58 reacted to Silence Dogood in Things That Struck You as Interesting Tonight...   
    I was worried that Parsons was going to put his coach in the hospital when he leapt into his arms. Definitely thought he was going to fall backwards onto the concrete. 
  12. Like
    gsmith58 reacted to MattM in Semi State Most Champs   
    I’d say OR.   Though AND would likely equal more success at a team state level.  On the OR side: I’m sure some of these schools have decent coaches who are good guys which deserve credit for the hours they put into the teams.  Not taking anything away from them for keeping thing going during the season and doing their part.  But let’s face it the academy development in the off season is helping a few is their studs improve beyond the choices they would have in their schools practice room.  There is a reason some of these random schools are showing up at Semi-State and State more regularly with a few studs when previously they barely had anyone win round 1 of SS.  It’s good for the schools that they can add more parody to the sport without us having to over class everything, but the development is increased in part due to access they have to a quality academy.  On the other side sure the  open enrollment, especially in populated areas, lets some talent pool together with the bigger name coach of the area too. We’ve seen some schools rise to higher success in the last 10 years from this.  But on the other end it seems some kids still want to rep their home school, and the access to these academies help the get added partners if their rooms not providing one.  Like I said it’s a different time.  
  13. Haha
    gsmith58 got a reaction from backtothemat in Semi State Most Champs   
    I don't know, but being from Southport, I wouldn't mind if you took them. Heck take Perry too...😉
  14. Like
    gsmith58 got a reaction from backtothemat in Semi State Most Champs   
    Let's put a hold on that Semi-State trophy.
     
    New Castle: Cottey, Seltzer, Lowery, Viduya, Allread, Parsons (6)
    Evansville: Miller, Boarman, Kervin, Dickens, Deters (5)
    East Chicago: Mendez, Walker, Bates (3)
    Ft. Wayne: (0)
  15. Like
    gsmith58 got a reaction from D Summar in Semi State Most Champs   
    Indeed! And deep.
  16. Haha
    gsmith58 got a reaction from Zombiedust in Semi State Most Champs   
    I don't know, but being from Southport, I wouldn't mind if you took them. Heck take Perry too...😉
  17. Haha
    gsmith58 got a reaction from Coach AJ in Semi State Most Champs   
    I don't know, but being from Southport, I wouldn't mind if you took them. Heck take Perry too...😉
  18. Like
    gsmith58 got a reaction from piscis1956 in Semi State Most Champs   
    Let's put a hold on that Semi-State trophy.
     
    New Castle: Cottey, Seltzer, Lowery, Viduya, Allread, Parsons (6)
    Evansville: Miller, Boarman, Kervin, Dickens, Deters (5)
    East Chicago: Mendez, Walker, Bates (3)
    Ft. Wayne: (0)
  19. Like
    gsmith58 reacted to Silence Dogood in THE BEST SEATS AT STATE   
    I have probably said 10x already this weekend "why don't they just sell reserved seats?"
  20. Like
    gsmith58 reacted to FCFIGHTER170 in THE BEST SEATS AT STATE   
    Let me guess they had ppls coats draped over seats...Stuff sitting on seats and D-Bo ass parents thugging on ppl? I see it every year I go and it really pissses me off.. first come first served not first come save 50 seats with your Garments and purses.
  21. Like
    gsmith58 reacted to base in THE BEST SEATS AT STATE   
    Saving seats is getting out of hand. Many parents and grandparents just want to see their son wrestle.  I ran into a mother last night that was chased from her seats cause she dared try to sit near the mat where her son was going to wrestle and another team’s fans had “reserved” three complete sections on level 2. She was very upset - this is out of control it shouldn’t be like that
  22. Like
    gsmith58 got a reaction from V and M's Dad in Semi State Most Champs   
    Let's put a hold on that Semi-State trophy.
     
    New Castle: Cottey, Seltzer, Lowery, Viduya, Allread, Parsons (6)
    Evansville: Miller, Boarman, Kervin, Dickens, Deters (5)
    East Chicago: Mendez, Walker, Bates (3)
    Ft. Wayne: (0)
  23. Like
    gsmith58 got a reaction from graham in Semi State Most Champs   
    Let's put a hold on that Semi-State trophy.
     
    New Castle: Cottey, Seltzer, Lowery, Viduya, Allread, Parsons (6)
    Evansville: Miller, Boarman, Kervin, Dickens, Deters (5)
    East Chicago: Mendez, Walker, Bates (3)
    Ft. Wayne: (0)
  24. Like
    gsmith58 reacted to grappleapple in Three years and one day ago...   
    Rickie Clark and Robert Samuels put on the best consolation match spectacle in Indiana wrestling history.
  25. Like
    gsmith58 reacted to Tony Ramos Gin Fizz in I simulated the State Tournament 1,000,000 Times   
    I got bored and I wanted to avoid the actual work that I have to do, so I coded a Monte Carlo simulation of the IHSAA state wrestling tournament in Matlab.
     
    To determine win probabilities of wrestlers, I used a rating system comprising rank, record, and grade (~67% rank, 20% record, ~13% grade). With this, an undefeated senior ranked #1 has about a 90% win percentage against the worst wrestler meaning that the worst wrestler has about a 95% chance of winning one match if about 30 matches are wrestled against the best wrestler.
     
    I set the simulation to run 1,000,000 times (admittedly this was probably ridiculous, but oh well). The amount of times each wrestler got each place was tabulated and used to make the observations below (Some Many of which are trivial).
     
    106:
     Lowery is top 4 58.63% of the time (73% of the times he places) Miller wins 18.36% of the time (the most despite being on the same side as (2) and (3)  Miller only makes it to the finals 32.16% of the time, but wins 57% of the finals matches he’s in Chundi has very similar results Triana wins the 2nd least of any wrestler at any weight (0.14%)  
    113:
    Cottey wins the 2nd most of any other wrestler at any weight (27.93%) Cottey and Ross are only ones at 113 that win more than 10% of the time  
    120:
    Seltzer is top 3 more than half of the time (58.44%) Diaz actually ends up better than Bettich on average  
    126:
    Dalton and Roberson have very similar chances at 1st 2nd and 3rd Rioux wins 20.45% with 365802 finals appearances  
    132: Nothing too significant
     
    138:
    Campbell makes the finals more than Bailey, but loses more often when he gets there, leading to similar 1st place finishes  
    145: Pretty good pairings here for top 4, no real surprises
     
    152:
    Boe, Kervin, and Hall all win more than Coleman Coleman wins almost 60% of the 254,538 finals matches  
    160:
    Levitz has the best shot at reaching the finals here (32.76%)  
    170:
    On average, Deters is able to do better than Calhoun  
    182:
    Walker has the highest finals win percentage of anyone Warren makes his way to the finals 273,963 times, but has a 50-50 shot at winning once he’s there Lone is very similar, just less finals appearances  
    195:
    Silas runs away with 319,526 times on top of the podium If kemper makes the finals, he wins more often than not  
    220: Not too much interesting here
     
    285:
    Dancy and Irick win more than Keys, Swallow makes a solid run most of the time placing top 5 about 52.80% of the time  
    Summary:
    Most of these actual numbers are completely meaningless as they are only as good as the data I had at my disposal. The overall trends however are at least somewhat representative of what is likely. I thought this would be an interesting look at the state tournament and it was (for me at least) and really highlights how effective a good or bad draw can be. That’s all from me for now, but ill answer just about any questions either about the simulation or how certain people finished. Overall, it was fun and I hope to try this again with better ratings and such, potentially using old state tournaments as training data for a machine learning rating system.
    Monte Carlo Results.pdf
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