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2022 IHSAA State Finals Seeds: The IHSAA and IndianaMat Got It RIGHT!!!!


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I decided to once again seed this year's IHSAA State Finals based on the set criteria I believe is used for sectionals to see how they would correlate with our state rankings and the IHSAA's random draw formula. Those who argue against the IHSAA often cite the desire for wrestlebacks or seeds to determine a true top eight at each weight class. So, I decided to seed this year's 106 weight class and here is what I got:

 

2022 IHSAA Wrestling State Finals

Indianapolis, Indiana

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

Seeding Criteria

1.    Head-to-Head

2.    Common Opponents

3.    Quality wins

4.    Winning percentage

5.    Record wins

6.    Past placement

 

106 Pounds

1.    Nathan Smith (Southport) 47-0, 12 | NC Semi-State Champion; H2H wins vs. Bollinger, Crull, Wilson; 2021 IHSAA State 6th at 106 Pounds

2.    Jake Hockaday (Brownsburg) 39-2, 9 | EV Semi-State Champion; H2H wins vs. Feeler, Jendreas, and Rioux (4); H2H loss vs. Rioux

3.    Gavin Jendreas (Crown Point) 32-4, 9 | EC Semi-State Champion; H2H wins vs. Bailey, May, Tolbert; H2H loss vs. Hockaday

4.    Luke Rioux (Avon) 34-4, 10 | EV Semi-State Runner-Up; H2H wins vs. Hockaday, Schaefer; H2H losses vs. Hockaday (4)

5.    Jeffery Bailey (River Forest) 34-1, 12 | EC Semi-State 3rd Place; H2H wins vs. Aubin (3), Tolbert; H2H loss vs. Jendreas; 2021 IHSAA State 6th at 106 Pounds

6.    Isaiah Schaefer (Evansville Mater Dei) 34-3, 9 | EV Semi-State 3rd Place; H2H win vs. Feeler; H2H losses vs. Rioux (2)

7.    Jalen May (Peru) 35-3, 10 | FW Semi-State Champion; H2H win vs. Johns; H2H loss vs. Jendreas

8.    Levi Johns (Bluffton) 39-1, 9 | FW Semi-State 3rd Place; H2H wins vs. Bollinger, Ocampo (2); H2H loss vs. May

9.    Ayden Bollinger (Delta) 34-4, 9 | FW Semi-State Runner-Up; H2H win vs. Ocampo; H2H losses vs. Johns, May

10. Julianna Ocampo (New Haven) 34-4, 9 | FW Semi-State 4th Place; H2H win vs. Crull; H2H losses vs. Bollinger, Johns (2), Rioux

11. Donnie Feeler (Crawford County) 22-2, 12 | EV Semi-State 4th Place; H2H losses vs. Rioux, Schaefer | 2021 IHSAA State Qualifier at 106 Pounds

12. Oliver Wilson (North Central) 31-5, 11 | NC Semi-State Runner-Up; H2H win vs. Halevi; H2H losses vs. Smith (2)

13. E’Shawn Tolbert (Portage) 24-5, 10 | EC Semi-State Runner-Up; H2H win vs. Aubin, Crull; H2H losses vs. Aubin, Bailey, Jendreas (3)

14. Seth Aubin (Hobart) 34-11, 9 | EC Semi-State 4th Place; H2H win vs. Tolbert; H2H losses vs. Bailey (3), May, Tolbert

15. Heather Crull (Northeastern) 45-3, 9 | NC Semi-State 3rd Place; H2H win vs. Halevi; H2H losses vs. Ocampo, Smith, Tolbert

16. Tamir Halevi (Carmel) 19-6, 10 | NC Semi-State 4th Place; H2H losses vs. Crull, Jendreas, Tolbert

 

First Round Pairings

#1 Nathan Smith (Southport) 47-0, 12 vs. #16 Tamir Halevi (Carmel) 19-6, 10

#2 Jake Hockaday (Brownsburg) 39-2, 9 vs. #15 Heather Crull (Northeastern) 45-3, 9

#3 Gavin Jendreas (Crown Point) 32-4, 9 vs. #14 Seth Aubin (Hobart) 34-11, 9

#4 Luke Rioux (Avon) 34-4, 10 vs. #13 E’Shawn Tolbert (Portage) 24-5, 10

#5 Jeffery Bailey (River Forest) 34-1, 12 vs. #12 Oliver Wilson (North Central) 31-5, 11

#6 Isaiah Schaefer (EMD) 34-3, 9 vs. #11 Donnie Feeler (Crawford County) 22-2, 12

#7 Jalen May (Peru) 35-3, 10 vs. #10 Julianna Ocampo (New Haven) 34-4, 9

#8 Levi Johns (Bluffton) 39-1, 9 vs. #9 Ayden Bollinger (Delta) 34-4, 9

 

Quarterfinals

#1 Nathan Smith (Southport) vs. #8 Levi Johns (Bluffton)

#2 Jake Hockaday (Brownsburg) vs. #7 Jalen May (Peru)

#3 Gavin Jendreas (Crown Point) vs. #6 Isaiah Schaefer (EMD)

#4 Luke Rioux (Avon) vs. #5 Jeffery Bailey (River Forest)

 

Semifinals

#1 Nathan Smith (Southport) vs. #4 Luke Rioux (Avon)/#5 Jeffery Bailey (River Forest)

#2 Jake Hockaday (Brownsburg) vs. #3 Gavin Jendreas (Crown Point)

 

Championship

#1 Nathan Smith (Southport) vs. #2 Jake Hockaday (Brownsburg)/#3 Gavin Jendreas (Crown Point)

 

Actual Placements with IndianaMat Rankings

1.    #1 Jake Hockaday (Brownsburg) 43-2, 9

2.    #4 Gavin Jendreas (Crown Point) 35-5, 9

3.    #3 Nathan Smith (Southport) 50-1, 12

4.    #8 Jalen May (Peru) 37-5, 10

5.    #2 Jeffery Bailey (River Forest) 37-2, 12

6.    #5 Luke Rioux (Avon) 36-6, 10

7.    #6 Isaiah Schaefer (EMD) 36-5, 9

8.    #9 Levi Johns (Bluffton) 40-4, 9

It looks to me that the IHSAA and IndianaMat team got it right. The top eight ranked kids all qualified, while eight of the top nine all placed, and three of the top four all finished top three. Maybe seeding or wrestlebacks aren't necessary after all.

 

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Wrestle backs will happen before seeding by a long shot. Also looking at this I'm curious how you have came up with 3 through 7 based off of Criteria. I might be missing something  but I would have 3 Rioux 4 Jendreas 5 Bailey 6 May 7 Schaeffer... I believe past placement is higher than winning percentage and wins.

17 hours ago, blueandgold said:

I decided to once again seed this year's IHSAA State Finals based on the set criteria I believe is used for sectionals to see how they would correlate with our state rankings and the IHSAA's random draw formula. Those who argue against the IHSAA often cite the desire for wrestlebacks or seeds to determine a true top eight at each weight class. So, I decided to seed this year's 106 weight class and here is what I got:

 

2022 IHSAA Wrestling State Finals

 

Indianapolis, Indiana

 

Gainbridge Fieldhouse

 

Seeding Criteria

 

1.    Head-to-Head

 

2.    Common Opponents

 

3.    Quality wins

 

4.    Winning percentage

 

5.    Record wins

 

6.    Past placement

 

 

 

106 Pounds

 

1.    Nathan Smith (Southport) 47-0, 12 | NC Semi-State Champion; H2H wins vs. Bollinger, Crull, Wilson; 2021 IHSAA State 6th at 106 Pounds

 

2.    Jake Hockaday (Brownsburg) 39-2, 9 | EV Semi-State Champion; H2H wins vs. Feeler, Jendreas, and Rioux (4); H2H loss vs. Rioux

 

3.    Gavin Jendreas (Crown Point) 32-4, 9 | EC Semi-State Champion; H2H wins vs. Bailey, May, Tolbert; H2H loss vs. Hockaday

 

4.    Luke Rioux (Avon) 34-4, 10 | EV Semi-State Runner-Up; H2H wins vs. Hockaday, Schaefer; H2H losses vs. Hockaday (4)

 

5.    Jeffery Bailey (River Forest) 34-1, 12 | EC Semi-State 3rd Place; H2H wins vs. Aubin (3), Tolbert; H2H loss vs. Jendreas; 2021 IHSAA State 6th at 106 Pounds

 

6.    Isaiah Schaefer (Evansville Mater Dei) 34-3, 9 | EV Semi-State 3rd Place; H2H win vs. Feeler; H2H losses vs. Rioux (2)

 

7.    Jalen May (Peru) 35-3, 10 | FW Semi-State Champion; H2H win vs. Johns; H2H loss vs. Jendreas

 

8.    Levi Johns (Bluffton) 39-1, 9 | FW Semi-State 3rd Place; H2H wins vs. Bollinger, Ocampo (2); H2H loss vs. May

 

9.    Ayden Bollinger (Delta) 34-4, 9 | FW Semi-State Runner-Up; H2H win vs. Ocampo; H2H losses vs. Johns, May

 

10. Julianna Ocampo (New Haven) 34-4, 9 | FW Semi-State 4th Place; H2H win vs. Crull; H2H losses vs. Bollinger, Johns (2), Rioux

 

11. Donnie Feeler (Crawford County) 22-2, 12 | EV Semi-State 4th Place; H2H losses vs. Rioux, Schaefer | 2021 IHSAA State Qualifier at 106 Pounds

 

12. Oliver Wilson (North Central) 31-5, 11 | NC Semi-State Runner-Up; H2H win vs. Halevi; H2H losses vs. Smith (2)

 

13. E’Shawn Tolbert (Portage) 24-5, 10 | EC Semi-State Runner-Up; H2H win vs. Aubin, Crull; H2H losses vs. Aubin, Bailey, Jendreas (3)

 

14. Seth Aubin (Hobart) 34-11, 9 | EC Semi-State 4th Place; H2H win vs. Tolbert; H2H losses vs. Bailey (3), May, Tolbert

 

15. Heather Crull (Northeastern) 45-3, 9 | NC Semi-State 3rd Place; H2H win vs. Halevi; H2H losses vs. Ocampo, Smith, Tolbert

 

16. Tamir Halevi (Carmel) 19-6, 10 | NC Semi-State 4th Place; H2H losses vs. Crull, Jendreas, Tolbert

 

 

 

First Round Pairings

 

#1 Nathan Smith (Southport) 47-0, 12 vs. #16 Tamir Halevi (Carmel) 19-6, 10

 

#2 Jake Hockaday (Brownsburg) 39-2, 9 vs. #15 Heather Crull (Northeastern) 45-3, 9

 

#3 Gavin Jendreas (Crown Point) 32-4, 9 vs. #14 Seth Aubin (Hobart) 34-11, 9

 

#4 Luke Rioux (Avon) 34-4, 10 vs. #13 E’Shawn Tolbert (Portage) 24-5, 10

 

#5 Jeffery Bailey (River Forest) 34-1, 12 vs. #12 Oliver Wilson (North Central) 31-5, 11

 

#6 Isaiah Schaefer (EMD) 34-3, 9 vs. #11 Donnie Feeler (Crawford County) 22-2, 12

 

#7 Jalen May (Peru) 35-3, 10 vs. #10 Julianna Ocampo (New Haven) 34-4, 9

 

#8 Levi Johns (Bluffton) 39-1, 9 vs. #9 Ayden Bollinger (Delta) 34-4, 9

 

 

 

Quarterfinals

 

#1 Nathan Smith (Southport) vs. #8 Levi Johns (Bluffton)

 

#2 Jake Hockaday (Brownsburg) vs. #7 Jalen May (Peru)

 

#3 Gavin Jendreas (Crown Point) vs. #6 Isaiah Schaefer (EMD)

 

#4 Luke Rioux (Avon) vs. #5 Jeffery Bailey (River Forest)

 

 

 

Semifinals

 

#1 Nathan Smith (Southport) vs. #4 Luke Rioux (Avon)/#5 Jeffery Bailey (River Forest)

 

#2 Jake Hockaday (Brownsburg) vs. #3 Gavin Jendreas (Crown Point)

 

 

 

Championship

 

#1 Nathan Smith (Southport) vs. #2 Jake Hockaday (Brownsburg)/#3 Gavin Jendreas (Crown Point)

 

 

 

Actual Placements with IndianaMat Rankings

 

1.    #1 Jake Hockaday (Brownsburg) 43-2, 9

 

2.    #4 Gavin Jendreas (Crown Point) 35-5, 9

 

3.    #3 Nathan Smith (Southport) 50-1, 12

 

4.    #8 Jalen May (Peru) 37-5, 10

 

5.    #2 Jeffery Bailey (River Forest) 37-2, 12

 

6.    #5 Luke Rioux (Avon) 36-6, 10

 

7.    #6 Isaiah Schaefer (EMD) 36-5, 9

 

8.    #9 Levi Johns (Bluffton) 40-4, 9

 

It looks to me that the IHSAA and IndianaMat team got it right. The top eight ranked kids all qualified, while eight of the top nine all placed, and three of the top four all finished top three. Maybe seeding or wrestlebacks aren't necessary after all.

 

 

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If they were to ever seed I believe the prior round placement should come into play. The 1-4 seed should be semi-state champs 5-8 seed would be semi-state runner ups and so one. You could also just seed the semi-state champs and match the runner up's based off of their champions for example the runner up to the #1 seed would face the #3 seed while the runner up to the #2 seed faces the #4 and vise versa and the rest would work it's self out.  This way the top semi-state champions would be separated and the best runner ups wouldn't be matched up in the quarters with the best champions. But as stated earlier the IHSAA would give us full wrestle backs way before having us seed it.

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1 hour ago, bbulldog152 said:

If they were to ever seed I believe the prior round placement should come into play. The 1-4 seed should be semi-state champs 5-8 seed would be semi-state runner ups and so one. You could also just seed the semi-state champs and match the runner up's based off of their champions for example the runner up to the #1 seed would face the #3 seed while the runner up to the #2 seed faces the #4 and vise versa and the rest would work it's self out.  This way the top semi-state champions would be separated and the best runner ups wouldn't be matched up in the quarters with the best champions. But as stated earlier the IHSAA would give us full wrestle backs way before having us seed it.

The best way to seed would be just seeing the four semi-state champions then everyone else falls into place after that.

 

A- 1st Seed Semi-State

B- 2nd Seed Semi-State

C- 3rd Seed semi-State

D- 4th Seed semi-state

1-4 placements

 

First round match-ups

A1 vs. D4

C2 vs. B3

D1 vs. A4
B2 vs. C3

--------

C1 vs. B4
A2 vs. D3

 

B1 vs. C4
D2 vs. C3

 

However if we are talking about things we wish would happen here is the order it would happen

 

1. Class wrestling

2. Wrestle-backs

3. Seeding at state

 

These are all pipe dreams

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19 hours ago, Y2CJ41 said:

The best way to seed would be just seeing the four semi-state champions then everyone else falls into place after that.

 

A- 1st Seed Semi-State

B- 2nd Seed Semi-State

C- 3rd Seed semi-State

D- 4th Seed semi-state

1-4 placements

 

First round match-ups

A1 vs. D4

C2 vs. B3

D1 vs. A4
B2 vs. C3

--------

C1 vs. B4
A2 vs. D3

 

B1 vs. C4
D2 vs. C3

 

However if we are talking about things we wish would happen here is the order it would happen

 

1. Class wrestling

2. Wrestle-backs

3. Seeding at state

 

These are all pipe dreams

That's pretty much what I was thinking. And I agree with your order of wish list. Honestly I know people probably won't like to hear this but I could see this being the order the IHSAA would make changes if these things ever hypothetically do change. I  agree that these changes would never happen any time soon.

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As long as class wrestling is a pipe dream, i'm good. However, if you're going to determine a team state champion in the individual tournament, wrestlebacks will change the outcome of the team placements with advancement points. Qualifying for state shouldn't put you in an one and done situation off rip Friday night. Getting rid of a dual team state champion should have came with full wrestlebacks at the state tournament.

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