Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  
MOBUCoach

Regional Rankings State Qualifiers

Recommended Posts

I basically gave each Region 4 points for a 1st place, 3 for 2nd, 2 for 3rd and 1 for 4th, 

This is the ranking of each Region as to who made it to state.

#           Name                                               Points                           # of Wrestlers

1.         Mooresville Regional                            62                              23 Wrestlers

2.         Pendleton Heights Regional                 50                              19 Wrestlers

3.         Goshen Regional                                49                                16 Wrestlers

4.         Perry Meridian Regional                     48                                19 Wrestlers

5.         Hobart Regional                                 46                                 17 Wrestlers

5.         Jay County Regional                         46                                  17 Wrestlers

7.         Crown Point Regional                       45                                   17 Wrestlers

8.         Penn Regional                                   35                                   16 Wrestlers

9.        Bloomington South Regional             27                                   12 Wrestlers

10.      Jeffersonville Regional                        27                                 11 Wrestlers

11.      Caroll(Fort Wayne) Regional              26                                 14 Wrestlers

12.      Evansville North Regional                  24                                  10 Wrestlers

12.      North Montgomery Regional             24                                   10 Wrestlers

14.     Peru Regional                                   19                                    9 Wrestlers

15.     Richmond Regional                           19                                    8 Wrestlers

16.     Logansport Regional                         14                                     6 Wrestlers

 

Edited by MOBUCoach

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

Old eyes getting to me, and Memory too,  Lapel does equal Logansport and Jennings County= Jay County

 

For some reason, I did put the one Indian Creek in with Mooresville and Edgewood as well for some reason,  Fixed.

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
2 hours ago, bwoodjc89 said:

And Jay County Regional is a 3 classification in team state scoring.  This always makes me scratch my head.

I thought the same thing. Peru is a category 4 which is shocking to me 

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites

I answer this question each year. It's an important question, so I'm always happy to engage with at least a quick response.

The Regional Categories are determined based on the "crowdedness" of each. We're trying to determine how difficult it is to qualify for semi-state--not how good the top end is. In the same way we can't say Yorktown should be ranked higher in duals than Garrett because they got more state qualifiers (Garrett beat Yorktown at team state), we can't say one regional is more crowded than another based on 9 or 17 of the 250 wrestlers that feed into that regional.

In competition terms, a better way to determine how difficult it is to get through a regional would be to have 5 dual meets between the 4th through 8th best kids from each regional. The winner of most of those matches would give a much better answer than simply whose high-end state qualifier totals are more when the majority of those come from two schools ever year in Jay County's case.

Statewide, since we've gone to the Category system the last 4 years, we've been incredibly accurate in getting almost all of the best teams from the following season into the event. In 3A, we always have 9 or 10 of the next year's year-end Top 10. In 2A, we get 8 to 10 and in 1A it's been 8 or 9. And even in 1A and 2A, where lineup turnover is so large, we've only missed a Top 5 team being at the event once every two years on average--and those teams were in the final vote, so the qualification scoring thought highly of them.  

All this to say: the scoring is working very well as a whole. It's not designed to pick IHSAA champions or to predict which regional has the most high-end talent. It's designed to find the best dual-meet teams for next year and nothing more.

In math terms, below is how we arrived at the Category levels for the Jay County and Peru regionals:

Team Genius Rating Expected Semi-State Qualifiers in an Average Regional for this team's Genius level (based on 5 years of data of all teams in the state)
Yorktown 73.51 6.94
Bellmont 52.96 4.35
Adams Central 52.89 4.34
Jay County 49.43 3.97
Muncie Central 49.23 3.95
Delta 45.12 3.52
Southern Wells 38.78 2.91
South Adams 31.02 2.25
Norwell 30.37 2.20
Winchester Community 29.27 2.12
Monroe Central 24.77 1.80
Union City 19.07 1.45
Bluffton 14.04 1.17
Wes-Del 13.62 1.15
Daleville 12.28 1.09
Blackford 3.74 0.72
Cowan 1.99 0.66
Randolph Southern -11.74 0.29
Wapahani -33.02 0.06
  Total 44.93
  Per Weight 3.21
  CATEGORY 3
     
Team Genius Rating Expected Semi-State Qualifiers in an Average Regional for this team's Genius level (based on 5 years of data of all teams in the state)
Western 74.49 7.08
Oak Hill 70.55 6.51
Peru 60.65 5.24
Marion 53.46 4.41
Eastern (Greentown) 51.81 4.23
Maconaquah 48.42 3.86
Rochester Community 45.59 3.57
Cass 43.03 3.31
Wabash 40.69 3.08
Manchester 34.05 2.49
Kokomo 21.64 1.60
Northwestern 21.21 1.57
Madison Grant 19.96 1.50
Southwood 15.17 1.23
Mississinewa 12.62 1.10
Northfield 11.42 1.05
North Miami 6.53 0.83
Eastbrook 0.77 0.62
Caston -13.69 0.25
Taylor -21.39 0.15
Tri-Central -31.32 0.07
  Total 53.75
  Per Weight 3.84
  CATEGORY 4
Edited by maligned

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
20 minutes ago, Sectional alternate. said:

"Expected Semi-State Qualifiers in an Average Regional for this team's Genius level"    Where can I find these numbers?

This was compiled from the collective performance of every school between 2012 and 2016 when we "control" for the sectional and regional site (which means eliminate its impact):

Team Genius Rating Expected Regional Qualifiers in an Average Sectional Expected Semi-State Qualifiers in an Average Regional
110 13.85 12.55
105 13.72 11.87
100 13.53 11.17
95 13.24 10.42
90 12.86 9.61
85 12.39 8.77
80 11.85 7.94
75 11.25 7.16
70 10.62 6.44
65 9.97 5.77
60 9.31 5.16
55 8.64 4.58
50 7.96 4.03
45 7.28 3.51
40 6.62 3.02
35 5.97 2.57
30 5.35 2.17
25 4.76 1.82
20 4.19 1.50
15 3.66 1.22
10 3.16 0.98
5 2.69 0.77
0 2.25 0.59
-5 1.84 0.44
-10 1.48 0.33
-15 1.16 0.23
-20 0.90 0.16
-25 0.68 0.11
-30 0.50 0.08
-35 0.35 0.05
-40 0.24 0.03
-45 0.16 0.02
-50 0.11 0.02

Share this post


Link to post
Share on other sites
Sign in to follow this  

×
×
  • Create New...

Important Information

We have placed cookies on your device to help make this website better. You can adjust your cookie settings, otherwise we'll assume you're okay to continue.