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maligned

2016-17 IHSWCA Team State Qualifying Scores (FINAL)

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2016 IHSWCA Team State Qualifying (FINAL).pdf

A few reminders about the significance in each class of scores through sectional:

1A: Scores are very meaningful already. There will be some jockeying for position still, but the contenders are all near the top. The top several teams are virtually guaranteed spots.

2A: Scores are somewhat meaningful. It would be hard for the top couple teams not to qualify. However, some teams further down the standings can still make big moves. Regional weekend will be big in this division.

3A: Scores in 3A are virtually meaningless right now. The highest scores basically only reflect having a full lineup and a lot of underclassmen. The big weekend for 3A isn't until semi-state. You have to get a large chunk of your team to the second round of semi-state or beyond to qualify in 3A. Even teams far down the list right now will make enormous moves in the next couple weeks. And a few of the top teams now will be out of the top 50.

More details about scoring and lots of answers to your questions are here:

http://indianamat.com/index.php/topic/49479-team-state-qualifying-procedures-2016/

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Further summary of scores at this point:

 

3A:

Current high score: 96

Eventual high score: 225+

Approximate total needed to qualify automatically: 185

Approximate total needed to be eligible for voting: 165

Semi-state race to watch: Fort Wayne.  There's a good chance no one will reach that 185 threshold, which means the spot is there for the taking if someone can have a strong tournament.  Carroll is the favorite.

Contenders: anyone with 10+ competitors still alive (40 teams).  Any of those who can get 10+ to semi-state and 6-8 to the second round of semi-state or better is a contender.  If you can't do that, you'll struggle.

 

2A:

Current high score: 154

Eventual high score: 210+

Approximate total needed for automatic advancement: 160

Approximate total for voting consideration: 145

Semi-state race to watch: East Chicago. It's possible no one will reach even 140 to 145.  That means it's a wide open race.  Culver Academies, Griffith, and West Lafayette appear to have the best shot at this auto bid.

Current leaders:

New Castle: North Montgomery 154

Evansville: Edgewood 154

Ft. Wayne: Garrett 142

East Chicago: Culver Academies 109

Automatic wildcards: Franklin County 148, NorthWood 139, South Dearborn 138, Bellmont 137, Yorktown 134, Southridge 134

Others with 10+ still alive: Jimtown, Southmont, Ev. Memorial, Delta, W. Lafayette, Peru

 

1A:

Current high score: 186

Eventual high score: 215+

Approximate total needed for automatic advancement: 160

Approximate total for voting consideration: 140

Semi-state race to watch: East Chicago.  Again, this semi-state's teams could struggle to reach automatic bid territory.  Triton and Bremen are the frontrunners.

Current leaders:

Ft. Wayne: Prairie Hts 186

New Castle: Knightstown 160

Evansville: North Posey 156

East Chicago: Triton 140

Automatic wildcards: Adams Central 176, Oak Hill 176, Shenandoah 151, Fountain Central 143, Winchester 139, Monrovia 130.

Others with 7+ still alive: Elwood, Tri, Cass, W. Central, Delphi, Manchester, Eastern (Pekin), Wes-Del, North White, Northfield, Fremont

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Maligned, 

 

Do you have the quotas by sectional yet?  I didn't see that published yet.

Yeah, sorry. They're a part of the procedures doc.

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Here are the updated scores through regional.  The columns reflect 1) total score, 2) number of guys still alive, 3) qualifying points available for each team at semi-state, and 4) updated projected post-semi-state score if each team wins half of its first and second round matches.

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If I'm reading this correctly, Triton has now secured the automatic bid for the 1A team from the East Chicago SS.  Delphi would be second, but I don't think they can earn enough points to catch Triton.  Is that correct?

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The Peru regional's teams were almost all incorrect in terms of number of semi-state qualifiers--that is now updated.  Their scores were and are correct.

 

Also, some teams have the possibility of bigger upgrades in points if they get upsets in the first round of semi-state because a few 3rd and 4th placers have only earned regional-level points to so far, but could get upgraded directly to semi-state second round or better with wins.  That is now also corrected in the points available columns (or will be shortly when Y2 updates the link).

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If I'm reading this correctly, Triton has now secured the automatic bid for the 1A team from the East Chicago SS.  Delphi would be second, but I don't think they can earn enough points to catch Triton.  Is that correct?

Yes, unless Delphi, or maybe West Central, submits currently uncounted injury information, it would be impossible for anyone to catch you.

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Score interpretations by class:

 

1A

(assuming no further injury information is submitted)

 

Clinched bids (8):

Prairie Hts 

Oak Hill

Adams Central

Shenandoah

North Posey

Knightstown

Fountain Central

Triton (SS champ)

 

Still in contention for final 2 automatic bids:

Monrovia 147

Winchester 144

Elwood 141

Woodlan 137

Eastern (Greentown) 128 (lots of points still available)

Eastern Hancock 126 (lots of points still available)

 

Current cutoff to be eligible for both voted-in wildcards: 126

Current cutoff for final wildcard position voting only: 122

 

2A:

(assuming no additional injury information submitted)

 

Clinched bid: North Montgomery 200

 

99% certain of bid: Edgewood 180

 

Very probable to qualify automatically:

Garrett 168, Bellmont 167, Jimtown 163, Yorktown 162, Franklin County 162

 

Contenders for East Chicago semi-state auto bid:

Culver Academies 123

West Lafayette 118

Griffith 114

 

Legitimate contenders for final 2 automatic wildcard positions, based on current position and still-available points:

NorthWood 151

Southmont 150

South Dearborn 150

Southridge 144

Lebanon 143

Evansville Memorial 142

Delta 132

 

Current cutoff for eligibility for both vote-in wildcards: 135

Current cutoff for eligibility for final vote-in position wildcard: 129

(only Mt. Vernon additionally falls in this final cutoff range)

 

 

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3A:

 

Huge points up for grabs this weekend.  6 for underclassmen and 5 for seniors for semi-state first round wins and 3 points for both for second round wins.  Teams with 8 to 10 guys expected to advance will make massive leaps forward (Penn, Warren, for example).

 

Teams from among which Top 10 (all automatic bids) will most likely come, based on current scores and large numbers of points available to them at semi-state:

 

Crown Point 166 (13 alive...virtual lock to qualify...event is pre-Christmas break this year; let's start the campaign for them to attend!)

Avon 154 (7) (Miranda injury not added yet)

Perry Meridian 150 (11)

Castle 148 (9)

Chesterton 148 (10)

Evansville Mater Dei 146 (11)

Carroll 145 (11)

Brownsburg 144 (9)

Portage 140 (10) (also, Prado injury not added yet)

Penn 134 (13) (enormous points still available)

Warren Central 132 (14) (most points still available of anyone)

 

Based on their scores and number of guys left, these teams have an outside chance at an automatic bid, but need a surprising weekend and for a couple from above to falter:

Lawrence Central 136 (8 alive)

Floyd Central 136 (8)

Columbus East 128 (9)

Lawrence North 126 (10)

Hobart 124 (10)

Bloomington South 124 (11)

Jennings County 123 (9)

Carmel 121 (9)

Cathedral 119 (9)

 

Current cutoff for eligibility for both vote-in wild cards: 121

Current cutoff for eligibility for only last vote-in wild card: 119

 

Teams additionally within current cutoff: Zionsville 126 (6), North Central 126 (7), Jeffersonville 124 (7), Center Grove 122 (8), New Castle 120 (6), Franklin 120 (5), Westfield 119 (8)

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Brown boys, on 09 Feb 2016 - 12:52 PM, said:

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Southmont is 1a I believe?

A link to the classification assignments was posted last week and has since been moved here:

 

http://indianamat.co...rocedures-2016/

 

Southmont is the second lowest enrollment 2A school this year.

We re-calculate classification every year since inclusion is dependent on meeting sectional participation minimum requirements.

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Has Mason Miranda's injury points been added to Avons points? He was a returning state qualifier. His season was ended prior to sectionals.

No, it hasn't. Forgot to mention above.

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Lebanon's Ethan Greene, 2015 Sagamore conference champion and North Montgomery regional qualifier through the Zionsville sectional, was injured at Christmas and did not return to the line up.  He will be a senior next year.  Can his points be added into our Team State total?

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Lebanon's Ethan Greene, 2015 Sagamore conference champion and North Montgomery regional qualifier through the Zionsville sectional, was injured at Christmas and did not return to the line up.  He will be a senior next year.  Can his points be added into our Team State total?

Unfortunately, no.  For 2A and 3A, we ask that the injured wrestler would have advanced to semi-state the previous year.

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How does getting an alternate into the semi state mid week work?  Another wrestler was injured and the next comes in.

If I remember correctly in the past since they are an alternate they have to win a match to begin counting towards the team total. 

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How does getting an alternate into the semi state mid week work?  Another wrestler was injured and the next comes in.

Matt's right.  Each week, new points are only earned through advancement.  We don't "back-credit" injury replacements unless they advance.

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